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turbinetree

(24,685 posts)
Sat Sep 5, 2020, 01:49 PM Sep 2020

These maps show how 2020 could come down to 1 electoral vote

Analysis by Harry Enten, CNN

Updated 12:00 PM ET, Sat September 5, 2020

(CNN)Long election nights are what make junkies go wild and partisans go crazy. It's been 144 years since the Electoral College (how we decide our presidents) was last decided by a mere 1 electoral vote.

Chances are that whoever wins the presidency will have a more comfortable margin than winning by the skin of their teeth. Still, there are a number of different maps where either President Donald Trump or former Vice President Joe Biden wins the presidency with just 270 electoral votes, or where the two of them each get 269 electoral votes.

Below are just some of the realistic scenarios where Biden or Trump ends up at either 270 or 269 electoral votes. There are more, but this gives you insight into how it could happen.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/05/politics/electoral-college-maps-analysis/index.html

I my opinion I do not see any of this playing out..................

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Thekaspervote

(32,715 posts)
2. Oh doesn't it thou!! Cook Political, which is not media driven like 538 has a much more realistic
Sat Sep 5, 2020, 02:00 PM
Sep 2020

Picture.

The Dems have several paths to 270, whereas the repukes need all solid, likely, leaning red, all the toss up states and at least 40 votes from the leaning dem column. Granted, they have FL in the leaning dem which I think is too much to hope for, but even with that..take a look for yourself

https://cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/2020-07/EC%20Ratings.072320.2.pdf

Polybius

(15,336 posts)
3. Nightmare scenario:
Sat Sep 5, 2020, 02:03 PM
Sep 2020

Biden wins by 271-269. Two Electors are faithless and switch to Trump. Trump then wins 271-269. Nothing at all we can do.

Hassin Bin Sober

(26,315 posts)
6. The more plausible scenario is he claims victory on election night before mail-ins are counted.
Sat Sep 5, 2020, 02:30 PM
Sep 2020

Then he gets some state with a red court/legislature to stop the counting and send alternate delegates. Pence gets to decide which delegates to accept.

PoindexterOglethorpe

(25,816 posts)
7. Why would an elector, a Democratic party faithful, who'd been especially chosen
Sat Sep 5, 2020, 02:49 PM
Sep 2020

to be an elector, vote for Trump? That is not going to happen. There has never been a "faithless" elector whose vote altered the outcome of the election. Never.

Polybius

(15,336 posts)
9. No kidding it's never happened (altered the election)
Sat Sep 5, 2020, 03:25 PM
Sep 2020

But it certain could have happened in 2000, I think that one was like 272-268. In 2016 there was a record number of faithless electors.

Atticus

(15,124 posts)
5. I'm reasonably certain that, if you spend the time to search, you will find SOMEONE who will
Sat Sep 5, 2020, 02:24 PM
Sep 2020

also explain just how a huge rogue meteor COULD reduce our planet to softball size pebbles before November 3rd.

Personally, neither these "it could happen" pieces will cost me any sleep.

PoindexterOglethorpe

(25,816 posts)
8. It seems like every four years someone comes up with this nonsense.
Sat Sep 5, 2020, 02:50 PM
Sep 2020

Just like at the beginning of primary season people breathlessly predict a brokered convention.

It's not going to happen.

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