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BlueWavePsych

(2,635 posts)
Sun Sep 6, 2020, 11:30 AM Sep 2020

5 Reasons Biden's Odds of Victory Look Better Than Ever

1) Trump has used up his free, weeklong infomercial — and Biden is still leading national polls by a margin too large for the Electoral College to close.

2) Post-Kenosha polling indicates rising crime isn’t actually a “win” for the sitting president.

3) It will be hard for Trump to make new attacks on Biden stick when the electorate trusts the Democrat’s word over his.

4) Biden is outspending Trump 10-to-1 on television ads — and has the war chest to keep the aerial bombardment going indefinitely.

snip

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/09/2020-polls-biden-trump-odds-better-than-ever.html

Still, no reason for complacency. GOTV
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Zambero

(8,962 posts)
4. Just as he had a massive inauguration fund
Sun Sep 6, 2020, 11:48 AM
Sep 2020

For some strange and unknown reason, things seem too get "redirected" a lot in Trumpian circles!

Thekaspervote

(32,710 posts)
2. Thx for posting!! Some, including 538 are trying desperately to say it's a horse race!
Sun Sep 6, 2020, 11:36 AM
Sep 2020

Gotta have those clicks to his web site ya know..Forget decent polling..screw them



Go Joe..go Kamala...GOTV!!!

Bobstandard

(1,292 posts)
5. I won't discount 538
Sun Sep 6, 2020, 11:51 AM
Sep 2020

Let’s not be PollyAnna. This race isn’t nearly in the bag.

Go Joe, go Kamala

But especially, go everyone of us to the polls, to donate, to gotv!

Thekaspervote

(32,710 posts)
12. I do very much discount 538, and here's why
Sun Sep 6, 2020, 01:52 PM
Sep 2020

Remember the primaries? After 2 caucus nights, Silver in all his wisdom declares Biden’s campaign dead and claims sanders will take 49 states despite the glaring fact that sanders vote share was down by 18% from 16 and there was absolutely no youth vote. He and his friends are still posting articles to make it appear this race is soooo close!

Here’s what cook political has to say about that

https://cookpolitical.com/index.php/analysis/national/national-politics/many-are-afraid-say-it-not-close-race

Silver uses Emerson and Rasmussen. Other poll aggregators will not use them because of poor polling methodology.


https://www.commondreams.org/views/2019/10/30/nate-silver-making-he-goes

DON’T call me Pollyanna!! I do phone banking to swing states, knock on doors, donate...what do you do??

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
3. my 5 reasons
Sun Sep 6, 2020, 11:37 AM
Sep 2020

1. mainstream media doing all they can to make this look like a "close" election
2. trump won;t shutup
3. trump won;t shutup
4. trump won;t shutup
5. trump won;t shutup

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