Biden tops Trump by 12 points in new national survey

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leads President Trump by 12 points nationally among likely U.S. voters, according to a new poll.

The Reuters-Ipsos poll found that 52 percent of likely voters plan to cast their ballots for Biden, compared to 40 percent who plan to vote for Trump.

Three percent said they would vote for another candidate, and just 5 percent said they are undecided with fewer than 60 days until the Nov. 3 election.

The survey showed the percentage of voters who have not yet backed a major-party candidate to be less than half of what it was at this point in 2016.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/biden-tops-trump-by-12-points-in-new-national-survey/ar-BB18RhkG?li=BBnbfcL&ocid=DELLDHP

[DonaldsRump]

1. Go, Joe, go! n/t

[Laelth]

2. This is the post-"suckers" and "losers" bump.

Very soon we will see the “Yeah, I knew it was really deadly, but I lied about that to avoid a panic” bump.

-Laelth

[cilla4progress]

3. Too bad

national doesn't matter!

[Statistical]

5. Yes and no.

Yes the EC decides the outcome however the EC only has about a 3% bias towards conservatives. That means if the vote is 50/50 then the Republican wins easy. If it is 3% advantage for Biden it likely comes down to a coin flip. A 12 lead nationally is going to translate into an utter rout and landslide for Biden.

That being said this poll is currently the outlier, race likely will tighten somewhat, be vigilant, everyone needs to vote, etc, etc.

[Fiendish Thingy]

4. And 538 just bumped Joe's odds of winning to 74%! Trump down to 26

Big batch of post LoserGate polls out today. With the exception of Rasmussen with just +2%, all other polls give Biden a lead ranging from 6-15%. 538 aggregate average jumped from 7.4% to 7.7%, which translates to a 99% probability of winning the Electoral College.

[hedda_foil]

6. More details from the link.

This is the first time the Reuters-Ipsos poll measured support for the 2020 candidates among likely voters.

When measured by registered voters who include those less likely to vote, Biden leads Trump by 8 points.

The Sept. 38 poll was conducted online among 823 likely voters, including 390 who identified as Democrats and 351 who identified as Republicans. The survey has a margin of error of roughly 4 percentage points.

[Tom Rinaldo]

9. This means that Biden supporters are more likely to vote than Trump supporters

By a significant margin. That's big.

[hedda_foil]

10. You betcha! Enthusiasm is nice but we've got COMMITMENT.

[cilla4progress]

7. Too afraid to hope.

Sorry to admit.

Listening to Joe on TV right now just makes me want to cry.

I'm 65, so I'm on the downhill side, though still kicking!

It's our youth and future I hurt for.

This country right now is looking like a failed experiment. It all hinges on the next 55 days. Good v. evil; right v. wrong; morals v. shit.

[Permanut]

8. So if I calculate correctly..

The Russians, along with Louis DeJoy and the billionaires have to come up with 13% "help" for Mango Mussolini. Voter suppression, vote "counting" and the Electoral College should do the trick.