Biden Ticked Up To 76% at 538 Presumably On The Strength Of The Wisconsin Poll *

[DemocratSinceBirth]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100214069549


Some times I think folks only react to bad news.



*Was 75% earlier today.

[DonaldsRump]

1. Agreed

But I think we are all so concerned (not in a Susan Collins sense) about a Trump second term that we are all on edge.

We will win this, but we all need to get over fear and WORK TO GET OUT THE VOTE AND TO GET THE VOTE IN!

[mucifer]

2. On Wisconsin!!! And remember this fun fundraiser in a few minutes:

Link to tweet

?s=20

[gristy]

3. Oh!

Oh Oh Oh!!

[goose2300]

4. Things are looking good for Joe

Especially when you contrast their speeches. You have cool, calm and collected versus Shrieking Orange Baby Hitler.

[Cha]

5. I'm looking for good news.

[Desert grandma]

6. Great news!

[mcar]

7. Many are predisposed to panic after 2016

SO is one of those. He's driving me crazy!

[Yavin4]

9. And everyone dismisses 2018 like that one doesn't matter at all.

Turnout was up, way up, for the mid terms.

[mcar]

11. That's right

Hubby is predisposed to doom and gloom. Well, we live in Florida, so there's good reason.

[Fiendish Thingy]

8. Some of the increase is also due to shorter time between now and the election

He started at 71% in mid-August, mainly because of distance to Election Day.

If all goes well, the closer we get to Election Day, the better Biden’s odds will be.

[Stallion]

10. The Consistency of this Straight Line is What Gives Me Peace

essentially hasn't changed in 7 months and there are few undecideds

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/

[Thekaspervote]

15. Here's something else to consider. Biden is polling where we need to win in PA, WI, MN & MI

Above or right at 50%.

This says several things
1.there are very few undecided voters, a lot less than in 16

2. Hillary never did poll above 50% in these must win states, many more undecideds that went for dotard. So..Biden is in a much better position at this point than Hillary ever was. Something I will never understand..she would have been a great president

3. Biden polling above 50% with a 5-7 point lead, even if dotard were to magically do very very well, he would have to have a net gain of 5-7 pts just to catch Biden, not surpass him, just catch him...highly unlikely!

[Demsrule86]

12. Great news...thanks K&R....

[dsc]

13. the passage of time also helps

The close we are to election day, the harder it is for Biden to lose his lead. A 7 point lead in Sept is better than the same in Aug and a 7 point lead in Oct is better than one in Sept.

[Thekaspervote]

14. Thx for posting. And yes, you're right a post with good news gets a few comments

But doom and gloom... oh my.. a bazillion comments each one a little darker. I get that people are scared, I am too at times. That’s when one needs to get off the computer and start volunteering. Write letters, phone bank, knock on doors!!

[Le Roi de Pot]

16. My BIL thinks that Democrats are making same mistake as 4 years ago and we might have the same resul

He thinks 538 had the same odds last time.. But most crucially ..he thinks we are far too fixated on Trump ...Basically making the Bernie Argument.


He think unless we excite our base and increase turnout we could be in trouble.... He think going after centrists is a losing proposition.