New Equis Research Poll Has Biden Winning Nevada Latinos 62-26

[Bleacher Creature]

Down from its last poll but ahead of Clinton's final margin in 2016.

Link to tweet

[samsingh]

1. encouraging

[Hero57]

2. I don't buy the "Trump has gained ground with Latino voters"

Hispanics are not polled accurately in these polls and they are under polled usually for Dems.

[getagrip_already]

4. it's cubans that are being referenced.....

as having a streak of support for trump. and they are a different breed of hispanic. he was always going to do well with them - at least the older ones.

[safeinOhio]

3. Harris has been

working hard there. Needs to spend some time in Florida.

[sarcasmo]

5. If this number holds Nevada will be blue.

[peggysue2]

6. Good to read!

The being said, I don't think there's anything wrong in having weak spots pointed out. It works to our advantage because there's still time to patch those weak spots and work on increasing voter turnout. In Florida, for instance, where a clear win for Biden/Harris would eliminate a path for Trump and avoid the nightmare scenarios of Trump claiming victory before the votes are fully counted.

The gods are smiling in our direction!

[Awsi Dooger]

11. Not only pointed out...it should have been anticipated

I don't live in Nevada anymore so it's difficult for me to get a feel for demographic trends. But the Cuban situation has been obvious for years, and specifically since Gillum was nominated.

This link, for example, demonstrates that Cubans had been trending more blue, until the Gillum nomination. There is a bar chart low at the link:

https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/national-international/scott-and-desantis-won-the-florida-election-but-cuban-american-voters-are-beginning-to-vote-democrat/2078297/

"Cuban voters make up roughly 6 percent of the total Florida vote, he said. According to an analysis Sopo performed of election results in heavily Cuban neighborhoods, he estimated that in 2016, the Cuban vote broke 57 percent for Trump and 40 percent for Clinton. Two years later, it went 66 for Ron DeSantis and 33 for Andrew Gillum, that is 2 to 1.

To illustrate the importance of the Cuban vote, Sopo created a model simulating what would have happened if the numbers had broken down in the same way this year as in the 2016 elections.

"Had DeSantis mirrored President Trump's performance and beaten Andrew Gillum by a 17-point margin, we'd likely be looking at a Governor-elect Gillum now," he said

<snip>

"One factor that may have led to smaller turnout among young Cuban voters was that Republicans very effectively labeled Gillum as a socialist, Sopo said."

[Sympthsical]

7. Sanders earned over 50% of Latinos there in February

It seems the Latino electorate in that state is quite a bit more liberal than the national average.

Good news for us and the electoral college count.

[Le Roi de Pot]

8. Good .. Those Cuban Latinos --- they are suffering from PTSD

[Renew Deal]

9. Trump is wasting his time campaigning in NV

Unless he can hit the AZ media market. NV isn't happening for him.

[BGBD]

10. All of this handwringing over

lower support among Blacks and Hispanics is going to be for nothing. Those numbers will be to where they usually are by election day.