50 days out - what do you believe will be the popular vote win margin

[rufus dog]

For historical purposes, the winning difference is listed below:

2000 – Gore – 500k
2004 – Bush – 3 Million
2008 – Obama – 9.5 Million
2012 – Obama – 5 Million
2016 – Clinton – 3 Million

15 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Time expired
	tRump wins popular vote
	0 (0%)
	Biden wins by less than 1 million
	0 (0%)
	Biden wins by 1 to 3 million
	0 (0%)
	Biden wins by 3 to 5 million
	2 (13%)
	Biden wins by 5 to 7.5 million
	6 (40%)
	Biden wins by 7.5 million to 10 million
	3 (20%)
	Biden wins by over 10 million
	4 (27%)
	0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
Show usernames Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

[rufus dog]

1. And I will make the first prediction

Biden will exceed Obama's 2008 vote total and tRump will lose about 1 million votes due to switches to Biden AND some republicans sitting this election out. This will end up with him winning the popular vote by over 10 million with huge numbers run up on the West Coast and NE States.

[Laelth]

2. Just a guess.

Trump got 62 million votes last time. I think he drops to 58 million. Hillary got nearly 65 million in 2016. I think Biden gets 68 million and wins.

-Laelth

[rufus dog]

3. We are all guessing!!!!

I hope you are right on The Shitstain dropping that many voters, (basically losing 6% of his vote) but I like the way you think.

My guess is 1 million drop with Biden/Harris adding a million to Obama/Biden 2008 record vote total.

I suppose the Suburban voter flip to Biden counts as a double gain.

[qazplm135]

4. I'd say more than Clinton, less than Obama 08

Somewhere in that range would be my guess.

[sarcasmo]

5. 7 million.

[sarisataka]

6. Much like 2016 I have no doubt of a popular victory

likewise I am not as confident of an Electoral win.

I expect it will be closer than 2016 but may fall short of 270. Everyone needs to vote so no state slips away

[roamer65]

7. 55-45 I think.

On the popular vote.

The EC? Who the fuck knows...

[Tribetime]

8. Biden 72 million drumph 61