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*Brand New Morning Consult Likely Voter National Poll Biden* 51% - Klansman 43% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2020 OP
Thanks DSB. I appreciate you posting these polls K&R Demsrule86 Sep 2020 #1
Amazing consistency in these national polls. honest.abe Sep 2020 #2
I am increasingly optimistic for a 10+ rout grantcart Sep 2020 #3
I think that is a reflection that most have made up their mind still_one Sep 2020 #5
+1, LV and low MOE ... premo data uponit7771 Sep 2020 #6
Joe will outperform the polls! Johnny2X2X Sep 2020 #4
"...margin of error of +/- 1% ..." !!!!!!! 😁😁😁 uponit7771 Sep 2020 #7
Yin Yang colsohlibgal Sep 2020 #8
Really great news Thekaspervote Sep 2020 #9

honest.abe

(8,614 posts)
2. Amazing consistency in these national polls.
Tue Sep 15, 2020, 09:26 AM
Sep 2020

Also an 8 point national lead should translate into an EC blowout... but we still have a few weeks to go and turnout is key.

Cautiously optimistic.

grantcart

(53,061 posts)
3. I am increasingly optimistic for a 10+ rout
Tue Sep 15, 2020, 09:50 AM
Sep 2020

The state and national polls don't correlate.

We can't be ahead in heavily blue states like NY and CA tied in TX and Florida and over performing every where by a min of 5 points (15 points in AZ) and only hold an 8 % lead nationally.

I think what is happening is that they are using 2016 turnout models when they should be using 2016 for Republican turnout and 2018 for Dems, but that is just a guess.

Johnny2X2X

(18,969 posts)
4. Joe will outperform the polls!
Tue Sep 15, 2020, 09:59 AM
Sep 2020

2018 is the most recent lesson and Dems our performed the polls across the country. Joe’s going to win by 2-4 points more than the polls say he will.

colsohlibgal

(5,275 posts)
8. Yin Yang
Tue Sep 15, 2020, 10:14 AM
Sep 2020

The Good News....Biden Up 8. The Bad News.....43% have lost their minds and foregone critical thinking.

Thekaspervote

(32,704 posts)
9. Really great news
Tue Sep 15, 2020, 10:46 AM
Sep 2020

The national polls actually do become relevant by this time in the race. And, polling above 50%, very few undecideds. Think about it, dotard would have to see an 8 pt gain just to pass him by one point!

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