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Dr. Jack

(675 posts)
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 03:19 PM Sep 2020

New, Highly Credible Polls Offer Bad News For Trump

High quality polls are making the rounds again, finally. Now we aren't stuck with Rasmussen and Trafalgar we are getting a much clearer picture of where the race is. There have been a few political experts speculating that the bottom is falling out of Trump's support. There seems to be growing evidence that is indeed the case and that Trump is hemorrhaging support in key areas of the country


https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/09/new-highly-credible-polls-offer-bad-news-for-trump.html

21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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New, Highly Credible Polls Offer Bad News For Trump (Original Post) Dr. Jack Sep 2020 OP
Yes please! soothsayer Sep 2020 #1
Just do us all a favor, Donny Blue Owl Sep 2020 #2
the key is, trump and GOP are not expanding their voting base, they thought the fear factor beachbumbob Sep 2020 #3
And the judiciary is getting very annoyed by the constant Trump lawsuits Dr. Jack Sep 2020 #4
We are so damn lucky these criminals (Shitler included) are as inept as they are. OMGWTF Sep 2020 #19
I don't think they reacted that way because they thought it was campaign strategy JonLP24 Sep 2020 #5
He's never tried to expand his base Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Sep 2020 #11
trumps thinks his base the only one that gets to play, we will show he once more beachbumbob Sep 2020 #12
Even with the crappy polls and the slight "tightening", still looking good for Joe. Fiendish Thingy Sep 2020 #6
This, also from NY Mag., is a little more concerning: callous taoboy Sep 2020 #7
Its OVER Folks!!!! Stallion Sep 2020 #8
Ras is doing his best. dawg Sep 2020 #9
No, you aren't. SergeStorms Sep 2020 #20
Doesn't account for systematic disenfranchisement (and they've gotten VERY good at it) nt pat_k Sep 2020 #14
"It ain't over till it's over" -- Yogi Berra Auggie Sep 2020 #16
This message was self-deleted by its author Stallion Sep 2020 #10
Beware overconfidence. Polls don't account for systematic disenfranchisement. (nt) pat_k Sep 2020 #13
We need to dump trump and the GOP senate too burrowowl Sep 2020 #15
Hope someone is watching the nukes. nt ooky Sep 2020 #17
Impeached tRump is hemorrhaging ffr Sep 2020 #18
We heard this in 2016 until........... MRDAWG Sep 2020 #21
 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
3. the key is, trump and GOP are not expanding their voting base, they thought the fear factor
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 03:37 PM
Sep 2020

would work and polling of Wisconsin after Kenosha violence, Biden expanded his lead. The only tactic left is to prevent people from voting and prevent votes from being counted and we can be in the middle of this by being poll workers and election judges

Dr. Jack

(675 posts)
4. And the judiciary is getting very annoyed by the constant Trump lawsuits
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 03:40 PM
Sep 2020

And fuckery at the post office. They can't even cheat properly. Stupid fucks

JonLP24

(29,322 posts)
5. I don't think they reacted that way because they thought it was campaign strategy
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 03:46 PM
Sep 2020

He doesn't feel the protestors are his supporters so he uses damaging rhetoric against them. Oregon isn't going to vote for Trump so he was free to do whatever he wanted in Portland. The Whitmer protestors are his supporters so he treated them much differently.

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
12. trumps thinks his base the only one that gets to play, we will show he once more
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 04:58 PM
Sep 2020

how wrong his thinking is

Fiendish Thingy

(15,548 posts)
6. Even with the crappy polls and the slight "tightening", still looking good for Joe.
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 03:59 PM
Sep 2020

Best news today:
538’s model has increased Joe’s odds of winning to 77, with Trump at a measly 23%.

Stallion

(6,473 posts)
8. Its OVER Folks!!!!
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 04:29 PM
Sep 2020

Rasmussen just gave Trump a 53-46 approval rating. So every poll moving in Biden's direction so Rasmussen comes to rescue with their highest approval in the last year

(BTW I'm kiddin'. We are going to stomp Trump's ass)

dawg

(10,621 posts)
9. Ras is doing his best.
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 04:32 PM
Sep 2020

Once we get a little closer to the date, he'll rein it back in so as not to be too far off from measurable reality. But for now, he's just trying to drive perceptions. (Am I being too conspiracy-minded by believing this?)

SergeStorms

(19,186 posts)
20. No, you aren't.
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 05:38 PM
Sep 2020

Who wants to consult a poll that has a widening horse race? If you want to draw attention to yourself with less than 7 weeks remaining before election day, you tell everyone it's going to be a nail biter.

That said, am I being too conspiracy minded by believing this?

Response to Dr. Jack (Original post)

MRDAWG

(501 posts)
21. We heard this in 2016 until...........
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 06:16 PM
Sep 2020

October surprise by Comey. Where will it come from this year? Polls don't count voter suppression.

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