General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums'Disgusted' voters in the Philly suburbs could help Biden offset Trump's gains in Pennsylvania
Arnell represents the political transformation of Philadelphias suburbs, now largely Democratic and mobilizing against Trump in the final six weeks before the election. While Trump narrowly won Americas suburbs in 2016, Hillary Clinton swept Philadelphias four collar counties. It wasnt enough to stop Trump from narrowly winning the state, and with it the White House. But people like Arnell who had been slowly walking away from the party in these onetime Republican strongholds broke into a sprint after 2016, and they havent looked back.
Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans in all four counties, and by wide margins in two. Democrats won all but one suburban congressional seat in 2018. And they won control of all four county governments last year in one case for the first time since the Civil War.
Theres little doubt that Democratic nominee Joe Biden will defeat Trump in the Philadelphia suburbs. The question is whether hell do so with big enough margins. Voter registration trends and interviews with dozens of voters over the last two months suggest Trump retains strong political support in the longtime Democratic bastions in small Rust Belt towns throughout Northeastern and Southwestern Pennsylvania that he won in 2016.
That means Bidens path to victory, in a state increasingly seen as one of the most critical 2020 battlegrounds, relies on racking up big wins in the populous southeast. About 21% of Pennsylvanias registered voters live in Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery Counties.
https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/trump-biden-philadelphia-suburbs-pennsylvania-20200920.html
Thekaspervote
(32,751 posts)ProfessorGAC
(64,988 posts)Yes, 5% is closer than a bit back.
But, 5% behind in a state one won 4 years ago isn't much of a "gain" as they say.
Seems like horserace commentary.
tman
(983 posts)I feel good about MI, WI, MN & AZ.
Calista241
(5,586 posts)apcalc
(4,463 posts)elleng
(130,860 posts)FakeNoose
(32,620 posts)It's about time too!