Republicans likely handed the Dems an electoral landslide

[Dr. Jack]

Sure, there are a lot of people screaming online right now how Trump can now steal the election with impunity and the Supreme Court is just going to say "yup, you're a dictator now, congratulations". However I think those people are....talking out of their asses, to put it politely. The situation is bad with the supreme Court but it's not "the United States is dead and Trump is now Hitler" bad.

Regardless, the election is still coming up despite some people's fears that it somehow isn't, and it seems that the Republicans have handed the Democrats a landslide victory. Really though if you're McConnell or Trump you don't have any good options here when it comes to the election. Trump has been staring down a very likely defeat for months if not years now and the Senate is looking increasingly likely to end up Democratic. They could be honorable (obviously was never going to happen), likely lose the white house and Senate, and the Dems replace Ginsberg. Or they can shit all over everything, ram someone through, and lose anyway. Logically they are going to go with ramming someone through. Their days are numbered regardless.

I have heard some people automatically assume that this whole situation somehow benefits Trump and the Republicans electorally. But that really doesn't make since. The biggest reason why, as Harry Enten pointed out on CNN today, Republicans voters are already maxed on enthusiasm and Republican candidates are largely maxed out on support from Republican voters. They have been playing to the base and only the base for so long, that well is already dry. They can't squeeze anything else out of their base. So replacing a liberal justice with a conservative one doesn't help Trump or the Republicans.

But it does massively piss of Democrats and liberals, 5 weeks before the election. Maybe even some independents and swing voters who see the Republicans making a morbid power grab and being dishonorable. Look at the $100 million the Dems raised in 1 day. Biden was already putting up big numbers against Trump even though Democratic "enthusiasm" was pretty mediocre. What the Republicans have done is turbocharged the Democratic base at the exact right time for them to slaughter the GOP at the polls.

I know pessimism seems to be reining supreme right now so it is hard to believe but the Democrats have very likely been handed an landslide victory in November, the likes of which we haven't seen in decades.

[AleksS]

1. You got that right.

There used to be talk of an “enthusiasm gap” but money talks and 100 million dollars in one day tells me there’s a lot of Democratic enthusiasm right now.

[mzmolly]

2. I sure

hope so.

[Quixote1818]

3. A lot more people are pro-choice so I agree. nt

[Dr. Jack]

5. You know the right is going to go overboard with celebrating the end of Roe V Wade

They are going to talk about all of these programs and civil rights they can take away now, which is going to scare the shit out of people that until now have been only half paying attention.

[Tommymac]

15. With a Dem Congress and President we can pass new laws to make up for it.

And appoint new Justices to uphold the new law.

I just don't understand the trumpists' rationale to rush to replace her. It is a LONG TERM losing strategy.

But hey, they're smarty-pants elitists so what do I know.

[COL Mustard]

55. Don't Help Them Figure It Out!!!!

Seriously...when your opponent is digging himself into a hole, hand him a shovel!

[Tommymac]

57. Right on. n/t

[BigmanPigman]

4. I just read this....now it is even higher $100 million.

In the 48 hrs following the announcement of @KamalaHarris as VP, the Biden campaign raised over $48M. Less than 24hrs after RBG left us, Democrats raised over $70M. Strong women change everything. They carry us through our worst + show us our best. If we win, it's because of them

Link to tweet

?s=20

[Dr. Jack]

7. Money is very, very important

But what is even more important is the new heights of democratic engagement it represents. The backlash to the Republicans in this election is going to be severe.

[BigmanPigman]

9. I think polls conducted yesterday

or today showed that 51% of ALL voters say we should wait to be fair. That is what they say (not what they will actually do). We shall see.....

[Lasher]

29. Here's a CNN article that conveys the same observation, and more

The Democrats' response to RBG's death should terrify Trump

(CNN)The full political impact of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg's death on Friday and Donald Trump's rush to fill her Supreme Court seat has yet to emerge. But if you don't think these events have the potential to energize Democrats to possibly record election turnouts in November, you probably haven't seen what's going in the Democratic base.

Here are two facts every discussion on this topic must include -- as I've heard firsthand from listeners who call my nightly SiriusXM radio show. One, how much Trump is utterly despised by Democrats. Two, how much that same base loves Ginsburg, a global icon affectionately referred to as RBG.

The Democratic response so far should terrify Trump and GOP Senate candidates up for election this year. Democrats have already begun channeling their pain at losing RBG into action, pouring a record-breaking number of donations to Democratic candidates and causes via the online fundraising platform ActBlue. The New York Times reported that from about 9 p.m. ET Friday -- about 90 minutes after RBG's death was announced -- ActBlue reported receiving $6.2 million in donations, the most ever in just one hour in the platform's 16-year history. That record was broken the following hour when $6.3 million was donated, more than $100,000 per minute.

Saturday, after Trump announced he would be nominating a candidate for RBG's seat this week, ActBlue raised another $70.6 million dollars from 1.2 million contributors. All told in the 28 hours after RBG's death, ActBlue reported receiving $100 million in donations for Democrats. (I can't find any reports of an upsurge in GOP fundraising since Friday.) For perspective, Trump and the Republican National Committee raised $210 million in the full month of August. Biden and the Democratic National Committee raised $364.5 million in the same period.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/20/opinions/democrats-response-to-ruth-bader-ginsburg-death-should-terrify-trump-obeidallah/index.html

[BigmanPigman]

34. And I believe Team tRump already spent most of their money...

He always boasts about how good he is with money. Even his own father knew he was a "loser" with large sums.
I saw a chart showing Act Blue donations after death...zoom...through the roof!

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100214097165

[Lasher]

39. You are right.

Trump has raised $1.33B but he's spent $1.13B

https://www.npr.org/2020/05/20/858347477/money-tracker-how-much-trump-and-biden-have-raised-in-the-2020-election

[BigmanPigman]

51. If you add the Sept $$$ recently raised due to RBG

Biden has about $1.1Billion now (up from $990 Million).

[onetexan]

54. K&R!! Thank you for putting it so succinctly BMPM

[Statistical]

6. I doubt a landslide and I doubt this directly will move the needle much BUT I agree ...

on the money aspect. Democrats were already ahead this year in fundraising and this treachery supercharged that. Some of those Senate races are within the margin of error. Some extra funding right at the critical moment could flip a seat from 2% loss to a 1% win. Still I don't think it will be a landslide (I would be overjoyed to be wrong) although I am confident Biden will win and it is now more likely although not guaranteed that the Senate flips.

[backscatter712]

8. Also don't forget that Trump flushed most of his warchest down the toilet.

Amazing how that happens when he surrounds himself with grifters like Parscale. Trump had a billion dollar warchest, but now that's almost gone, so the Trump campaign's been going dark in a lot of areas.

Though Trump's secret weapon is that all he has to do is be a bag of dicks in public, and our craven media will give him free air time.

[czarjak]

10. "I could shoot someone in the middle of 5th Avenue...

Not fake news!

[Joinfortmill]

11. Sounds like a plan. Vote.

[2naSalit]

12. This is the shit we were bracing for...

So "it's" here now. Now we fight like we have never fought before because this could be the last real election if we don't fight hard.

[hamsterjill]

13. I'm going to hang on to a little of that pessimism, okay?

It’s how some of us work. We hope for the best but expect the worst. It’s a motivator. Much like the motivation for the fantastic donation amounts since we lost her.

I don’t dare for one minute allow myself to forget that Trump is going to cheat every way possible. His life is on the line. If he loses, he goes to jail or worse. When Putin has no further use for him, well, he’d better watch his tea! Because we all KNOW he’s compromised.

Early voting for me begins October 13th. I’ll be there.

[C Moon]

30. Yes. I was 100% sure Hillary would be our next President. I will not be duped again.

There's always more than meets the eye, when it comes to the GOPutin.

[Yavin4]

14. Whatever purity Liberals/Lefties that are still out there may now go vote for Biden.

Hopefully, they've seen the light.

[Neema]

42. Based on what I've seen of them on Twitter, nope. They're firmly entrenched in their

temper tantrum.

[bucolic_frolic]

16. 2018 broke almost entirely in our favor

but those last 11 or 12 House seats were tabulated over a number of days or even weeks and the margins were razor thin. I'd call it outperformance. And I'd be happy to see the same in 2020. I suspect results will be slow, which favors Trump's legal shenanigans, and razor thin.

What troubles me is all the Trump signs in hillbilly country. Some can't read the signs, but their pastor has them voting for the first time. That's why I think our margins will be razor thin. We will overperform. So will they.

Watershed elections, landslides are like pursuing the Stanley Cup. Don't mention it, don't ever touch it, until you've won.

[jorgevlorgan]

17. Also this

Link to tweet

[SharonAnn]

18. I really think that's possible.

[IronLionZion]

19. I hope it boosts our turnout more than theirs

that's the best we can hope for is turnout on our side.

[Rice4VP]

20. Hopefully for the next 12 years

It took 2016 for people to wake up and realize..gee, this voting thing does matter

[srose58089]

21. Friend in Florida that was going to vote 3rd party now says voting for Biden

This is just one person who I will identify as a middle aged white female rural Florida voter messaged me today on Facebook:

. . . not quoted . . .

"Also, RBG just pushed me over the edge - you will be happy to know... I will probably have to vote for Biden... I don't want to! I'm pretty scared of what Democrats will do with the government in this pandemic - mask mandates and forcing businesses to close - but I'm more afraid of the long term consequences of disrupting our Supreme Court. UGH honestly, I think we're totally FUCKED anyway!!!!"

I am not going to even try an analyze this statement and post it as received. It does give me hope as this woman was a tRump voter in 2016.

[relayerbob]

22. Let people freak out ... it'll drive the GOTV efforts

If people think Dems are winning big, they may choose not to vote. Let them panic and drive the turnout. We need to have HUGE victory, up and down the ballot.

Even suggesting the possibility of a landslide victory is WAY premature, and counterproductive.

[catbyte]

25. Everybody I've seen, heard, and talked to are totally jazzed to make this a landslide. They, and I,

want this election to hurt. We want this to be a historic landslide to humiliate that thing in the White House and all of his enablers. The talk of a landslide just makes me want it to work to make it happen all the more.

[cstanleytech]

23. Mitch also might try to stall any Trump nomination as well because he knows that

regardless who the nomination is currently the court will remain a 5 conservative majority for atleast for awhile.
On the other hand if he pushes it there is alot of push right now on the left to enlarge the court to counter it and once a judge is on SCOTUS they cannot be removed as its a life appointment.

[sarisataka]

24. Will it be bigger

than the landslide of 2016?

[DallasNE]

26. We Need To Spend Advertising Dollars

Informing people by specific State how to request then cast a mail-in ballot because that is the one way to beat voter suppression efforts at the polls (ID laws, etc.) and that is why Republicans spend so much time yelling fraud. It defeats their efforts at voter suppression. And it needs to be done multi-media in order not to miss blocks of voters. Lacking that, November 3rd could be a long, disappointing night.

VOTE BY MAIL

VOTE BY MAIL

[peggysue2]

27. I agree with this assessment

I think there will be a massive blowback to this power grab. Any enthusiasm gap that pundits have been yapping about is now fully null and void. Democrats were prepared to flood the polls, now they're flooding donation sites as well with well over $100 million donated to Act Blue alone since Justice Ginsburg's death and McConnell's early dance across her grave.

If there was an iota of doubt that every Republican up for election needs to be tossed out on their ear, that doubt or hesitation has vanished. McConnell and the rest of Trump's enablers have proven themselves to be unAmerican saboteurs whose only guiding principle is the continuation of their own power. Without shame and at any cost, even the destruction of the country.

Democratic voters and all other Americans who find this current display of utter arrogance despicable will be blasting their objections with their vote, their unified voice.

We will carry this moment.

[Upthevibe]

28. Dr. Jack....

I definitely think you have some great points. Thank you for your well-thought out assessment....

[sandensea]

31. I hope you're right about that

If every Republican on the Court were like Chief Justice Roberts, there would be no doubt that the Court in fact isn't "the United States is dead and Trump is now Hitler" bad.

But alas...

[ecstatic]

32. Thanks for your optimism. We need that balance.

I won't feel comfortable until Biden is declared the winner.

[Qutzupalotl]

33. If they ram someone through, as you and I think they will,

Republicans and Trump will have shot their wad (sorry for the crude visual).

Trump’s electoral value is in the potential to name a justice. Actually doing it, especially under these circumstances, with many on record opposing it in an election year, diminishes Trump’s value. His voters liked the idea of him doing it sometime in the future. Seeing it play out this way, and giving them the conservative court they dreamed of, means they don’t need him anymore. So I think it will somewhat depress his base’s turnout, and I think you’re right that it will light a fire under us.

[calimary]

35. Let's hope so.

And let's work like hell to make it happen!

[crickets]

41. +1000000

[Sherman A1]

36. Believe it when I see it

not before.

[BannonsLiver]

46. You'll be seeing it

And the crow will be delicious, I promise.

[kentuck]

37. Yep. They are about to make an historic blunder.

It will not turn out the way they think.

[Blue Owl]

38. Let's do this election in honor of RBG

And make her proud!

[intrepidity]

40. Bookmarking. Either this will turn out to have been very true or very false

I'm hoping true.

[Dem2]

43. I feel this too

Glad you've taken on the pessimism that seems rampant these days.

[DIVINEprividence]

44. It will be an epic landslide

Just impeach anyone the GOP jam through. Their overreach gives us all the political cover we need

[tiptonic]

45. Normally

Normally I would agree with your theory but u left out, the Putin factor. He doesn't play fair and he doesn't have to. Please vote people.

[Pepsidog]

47. If it is a landslide Dems better be ready to move fast and hard to erase Trump's legacy by any means

[List left]

48. We will keep up the momentum...nt

[OnDoutside]

49. I hope someone has been keeping a list, and wrap it into an EO to be signed Day One, and then

railroad massive change through. Being nice has got the Dems nowhere with the scum on the Right. The American people are crying out for change, and I believe will back President Biden. There is nothing to lose.

[samsingh]

50. Trump can only win by CHEATING

[brewens]

52. What happens if we see long lines and hours long waits in certain areas as usual? Especially

if Trump has goons there harassing people, and maybe Proud Boy types as well. I don't think they're gonna take it again.

[smirkymonkey]

53. K&R

[bucolic_frolic]

56. Let's not sow the seeds of overconfidence here daily

HRC had a lock on it. This is not the time to watch a golden sunset, it's time to work like we're 10 points behind. If you have time to think about the outcome, you're not working hard enough.