Which US Senate Race should I put my money in next?

[jorgevlorgan]

Last one I did was MCGrath 35 bucks, and Harrison 10. What state would be the biggest bang for my buck? I'm thinking of throwing another 20 after I get paid this week.

Others include LA, MS and Kansas. The truth is I feel like almost every race we are in has the potential to turn out well for us, but I want to focus on the most likely ones for now.

16 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
	ME (Gideon)
	0 (0%)
	IA (Greenfield)
	7 (44%)
	SC (Harrison)
	6 (38%)
	NC (Conningham)
	0 (0%)
	AL (Jones)
	0 (0%)
	TX (Hegar)
	1 (6%)
	WV (Swearingin)
	0 (0%)
	AZ (Kelly)
	0 (0%)
	CO (Hickenlooper
	0 (0%)
	MT (Bullock)
	2 (13%)
	0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
Show usernames Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

[progree]

1. Let's get rid of Iowa's Joni "make them squeal" Ernst

Last edited Mon Sep 21, 2020, 08:34 AM - Edit history (2)

In 538's forecast, she's in the 2nd tightest race after Susan Collins in Maine (and unfortunately Ernst is ahead in that forecast, though the most recent poll has her behind 3 points)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/

click on any row of that table to see the polls for that race

More on Iowa:
https://news.yahoo.com/only-ghoul-tweet-something-republican-142726436.html

Local political news site Iowa Starting Line reported that just 10 minutes after the announcement of Justice Ginsburg’s death, the Ernst campaign sent Supreme Court-themed calls for donations by both texts and emails.

While the text message did not refer specifically to Justice Ginsburg’s passing, its content was all too resonant: “The next Supreme Court Justice will be decided by Dems if we lose the White House and the Senate. Help hold the line.” Included was a link to a fundraising page.

Radio Iowa’s Kay Henderson, meanwhile, described a campaign email with the subject line “BREAKING: the future of the Supreme Court is on the line”.

Two other Republican senators were mentioned in the article who quickly pivoted from offering condolences to sending messages about the Supreme Court

Loeffler of Georgia, Martha McSally of Arizona

[jorgevlorgan]

2. Thanks!!!

[Cha]

11. TY.. I chose Greenfield without knowing all of that.

[ooky]

14. I'll squeal if we get rid of Joni. nt

[BigmanPigman]

3. If Kelly wins he will be able to vote against a GOP SCOTUS pick

since he would be sworn in right after the election. That was the GOP needs only 3 senators to vote "No".

[ooky]

15. Convinced me. nt

[radius777]

4. McGrath has no chance. Bullock, Greenfield and Harrison need help.

We can win all of those seats if those people get help. Those are where I think we should place our bets.

CO-Hickenlooper and AZ-Kelly are pretty much in the bag for us.

NC-Cunningham is close and consistent lead, I think he has good funding. ME-Gideon is surging in the polls and I think she also has good funding due to going up against the hated Collins.

TX-Hagar I think has no chance at this point now, she seems to far behind Cornyn compared to the Cruz/Beto race.

We must win at minimum 4 seats (we're going to lose AL-Jones) plus the presidency to retake the Senate (VP-Harris would be tie breaker). Why we need massive turnout for Biden to help drag Dems in close races over the finish line.

[judeling]

5. I went with Iowa

But don't forget Kansas.

For the long term we have to make inroads into the core of republican support and that means Rural America. Iowa and Kansas are the states that scream rural the loudest this cycle.

[dem4decades]

6. Isn't there a Actblue flip the Senate account where they dole out the money as needed?

[jorgevlorgan]

7. I don't know but if you can send a link?

[progree]

8. secure.actblue.com/donate/getmitch

https://secure.actblue.com/donate/getmitch

-- their default is to split one's donation evenly among 13 of the Senate races that it deems donations will do the most good. But one can "customize" and give however much one wants to as few or as many of the candidates on a candidate-by-candidate basis, all on one form, just click on "Customize Amounts"

[dem4decades]

10. Thanks for getting that for me, I actually was in bed and couldn't research it.

[jorgevlorgan]

21. Thanks!!!!

[GreenPartyVoter]

9. I put my state of ME, but my feelings won't be hurt if you help out Jaime Harrison.

[Zing Zing Zingbah]

12. As a Mainer, I think Gideon is going to win

Collins has been trailing her this whole race.

[Zing Zing Zingbah]

13. Oh, nevermind... I read this wrong

I thought it was a betting thing. Yeah, maybe the others need the money more than Gideon.

[Fresh_Start]

16. Think about adding Bollier in Kansas, Koch is dropping money to defend

since the polls show it is competitive.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/02/koch-network-drops-cash-into-kansas-senate-race-as-polls-tighten.html

[Fresh_Start]

17. Consider Peters in Michigan. He's defending the seat

and the race is tight

[Stuart G]

18. I chose Bullock. Great chance to go red to blue. Steve Daines, current senator, will lose.

[tinrobot]

19. Here's a good article on the Senate chances.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/9/21/1979072/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Senate-Forecast-Democrats-have-a-clear-shot-at-a-Senate-majority

There's a chart towards the end. Donate to those near the middle. The races that are dead even or within a point or two.

I just gave to Alaska, SC, Kansas, Georgia.

[Polybius]

20. Thank God no one voted Alabama

Please don't waste any money there, send it elsewhere. I hate to be honest, but it's gonna get ugly in November there.

[Tanuki]

22. What about Jon Ossoff vs. David Perdue in Georgia?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.businessinsider.com/georgia-senate-race-david-perdue-vs-jon-ossoff-polls-fundraising-2020-8%3famp

.. "The most recent polls show a tight race between Perdue and Ossoff with many results within the margin of error. 
A poll of the race conducted by Redfield and Wilton Strategies from September 12 to 16 found Ossoff and Perdue tied among likely voters with 43% supporting each candidate. Another poll conducted by Fabrizio Ward and Hart Strategies for the AARP from August 30-September 5 found Ossoff leading Perdue by one point, 48% to 47%, among likely voters."....(more)

[crickets]

23. Another suggestion for GA: Raphael Warnock to replace Kelly Loeffler.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/raphael-warnock-georgia-senate_n_5e9760d1c5b686ec1570c5fb

https://secure.actblue.com/donate/wfg_ads-a