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Stuart G

(38,419 posts)
Wed Sep 23, 2020, 05:35 PM Sep 2020

538 Poll, for 3 years...Biden 52, Trump 42...at link below, ...take a look:

.............................NO MAJOR CHANGE IN 3 YEARS

Looks pretty stable to me, do you think people will change their minds in 45 days?
I don't think so. Do you? Check out March 27, 2017, then look at latest numbers..
............................NO CHANGE/3 YEARS..........................................


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?cid=rrpromo

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Stuart G

(38,419 posts)
3. If Trump has an average disaproval rate of 52% over 3 years.(& no change) then what are the
Wed Sep 23, 2020, 05:46 PM
Sep 2020

real chances that Biden will lose..in 45 days?...I am not talking maybe, but real?...In the last 6 months,
Trump has done little to stop the virus. (very little)..200,000 deaths. When people go into vote, what
will they think about? Another 4 years or give someone else a chance? Which will it be?

Yavin4

(35,437 posts)
4. That's Trump approval rating. For Biden vs. Trump....
Wed Sep 23, 2020, 05:47 PM
Sep 2020

Biden has consistently been ahead in the polls since March 2019. At the link, there have only been 5 national polls showing Trump ahead since March 2019:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html#polls

Stuart G

(38,419 posts)
6. Thank You for that link..And this question, What can Trump do to change this?
Wed Sep 23, 2020, 05:52 PM
Sep 2020

In my opinion...Absolutely Nothing at All. 200,000 deaths? by election day...how many more?

ananda

(28,858 posts)
7. 538 also shows several polls with Biden ahead by 7-11 points.
Wed Sep 23, 2020, 05:53 PM
Sep 2020

The average is probably around 9 points.

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