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Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
Thu Sep 24, 2020, 07:24 PM Sep 2020

Biden leads 48-44 in the latest Emerson Poll (was 49-47 last month).

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/september-2020-biden-holds-his-lead-voters-split-on-supreme-court-nominee-timetable

On its face, not the greatest poll but Emerson has been more bullish for Trump. In their last poll, Biden led 49-47 (2 points) and matches his lead from July (50-46).

With that said, there's some weird numbers here:

48% believe Trump should appoint the next justice - 46% believe it should wait until after the election.

Of the 4% undecided, Trump wins 54-46, so, if those voters are pressured into things, Biden would lead 49.84-46.16 or rounded (50-46), so, really nothing changes except Biden hits 50%.

Either way, I'll take it. It shows Biden holding steady - if not grabbing a bit of momentum.

I do worry about that Supreme Court number, though, if this race comes down to that.

Oh and this is funny:


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Biden leads 48-44 in the latest Emerson Poll (was 49-47 last month). (Original Post) Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 OP
Emerson used to be a C- poll. 538 elevated them to A- other poll aggregators won't even use Thekaspervote Sep 2020 #1
Yup. It's definitely an outlier not only on the head-to-head but the SC question. Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 #2
Emerson Is Pretty Much Garbage, So This Is Good DarthDem Sep 2020 #3
Numbers Are Odd, As You Said ProfessorGAC Sep 2020 #4

Thekaspervote

(32,755 posts)
1. Emerson used to be a C- poll. 538 elevated them to A- other poll aggregators won't even use
Thu Sep 24, 2020, 07:28 PM
Sep 2020

Emerson due to poor polling methodology. The Economist for one

Emerson is always the outlier.

DarthDem

(5,255 posts)
3. Emerson Is Pretty Much Garbage, So This Is Good
Thu Sep 24, 2020, 07:51 PM
Sep 2020

It's a good result from a pollster that has clearly leaned R due to their strange methodology. If this is what THEY find, Biden is doing very well.

ProfessorGAC

(64,999 posts)
4. Numbers Are Odd, As You Said
Thu Sep 24, 2020, 07:59 PM
Sep 2020

In July and their last poll, Biden + PINO = 96%.
Now, it's 92%.
An extra 4% of people became undecided since the last poll? That is strange!
The SC question: I'd like to see how it was worded. I find it hard to believe that a plurality approves of the rushed appointment by a guy fewer people want to vote for.
And again, you're right. That "wimp" question is a hoot!

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