Jon Ralston's latest Nevada Early Voting Blog - 11/1/20 - 8:30 a.m.

[RandySF]

Updated, 8:30 AM, 11/1/20

Good morning, fellow ravenous data types.

The Clark Dem firewall is now above 89,500 with a big new batch of mail that posted overnight. This is well above the 73,000-ballot firewall of 2016 and even above the 87,600 extrapolated number taking into account the increase in voters on the rolls since four years ago.

If you look at the math below, it already was very difficult for Trump. Now he has less of a chance to win than he does of getting a gaming license in Nevada.

I don't know how much more mail will be returned before Tuesday, nor do I know how many ballots will be rejected (the rate so far shows it doesn’t change the lead very much). But the dice are cast, and they look like snake eyes for the GOP.

More than 400,000 ballots have been cast by mail in Clark County and more than 775,000 overall. The number of votes left for Election Day continues to dwindle, and the chances of an overwhelming GOP turnout to turn this around becomes less and less likely.

More later, but the math is just not there for Trump.




https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-3

[Wellstone ruled]

1. Yupper,we did it once again.

When Sheldon Adelson put all his Holdings up for sale ten days ago,the die was cast. Harry Reid wins again,and Shelly Boy takes it in the shorts or diaper,which ever.