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RandySF

(58,464 posts)
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:14 AM Nov 2020

TX-24 moves from 'Tossup' tp "Lean D' (FLIP)

Republicans believe former Irving Mayor Beth Van Duyne is still in the hunt thanks to GOP ads painting Democratic Carrollton-Farmers Branch school board trustee Candace Valenzuela as a "radical" who wants to "destroy the energy industry and defund police." And it's true that Valenzuela, 36, is to the left of other Democrats who have won similar suburban districts.

But this majority non-white seat is undergoing a rapid metamorphosis that polls might not be capturing. Mitt Romney carried it by 22 points in 2012, Trump carried it by six points in 2016, Democrat Beto O'Rourke carried it by four points in 2018. With record-shattering turnout, Joe Biden could carry it by much more. That might be tough for Van Duyne, a former Trump HUD appointee, to overcome.


https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/final-house-ratings-democrats-poised-expand-majority-10-15-seats

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TX-24 moves from 'Tossup' tp "Lean D' (FLIP) (Original Post) RandySF Nov 2020 OP
Seeing races tilting toward Democrats this late Dem2 Nov 2020 #1
Excellent. dalton99a Nov 2020 #2
That's my congressional district Bok_Tukalo Nov 2020 #3

Bok_Tukalo

(4,322 posts)
3. That's my congressional district
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:28 AM
Nov 2020

It is a tight race but I think Kenny Marchant saw the handwriting on the wall.

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