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catbyte

(34,317 posts)
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 02:00 PM Nov 2020

James Carville predicts a blowout: 'We're going to know the winner of this election by 10pm tomorrow

November 2, 2020
By Sarah K. Burris

Former top adviser to former President Bill Clinton, James Carville, anticipates that Election Night will be a short night for everyone.

Speaking to MSNBC on Monday with former campaign manager for President Barack Obama David Plouffe, Carville said that he expects the election to be called by 10 p.m. that night.

“What people are doing is unnecessarily scaring people and making them unnecessarily nervous,” said Carville. “That event he had — David Plouffe is exactly right, that event in North Carolina, a state if he loses, I don’t want to wait on Pennsylvania. In North Carolina, he’s going to lose. That event was literally insane. You’re in eastern North Carolina, a state that you’ve got to win and you’re talking about some pollster at Fox News? It is literally insane that anybody — any politician would use that as a closing argument. I am not the least bit concerned about the outcome tomorrow night, and I’m not the least bit concerned that we’re going to have to wait weeks or months to find out what the result is. We’ll know and we’ll know early.”

Even when it comes to voter suppression efforts and legal challenges like the Texas Biden bus assault and the police pepper-spraying Black voters, Carville said that it’s only going to turn people away from Trump and motivate more Biden supporters to come to the polls.

snip



https://www.rawstory.com/2020/11/james-carville-predicts-a-blowout-were-going-to-know-the-winner-of-this-election-by-10pm-tomorrow-night/
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James Carville predicts a blowout: 'We're going to know the winner of this election by 10pm tomorrow (Original Post) catbyte Nov 2020 OP
Blue wave rising C_U_L8R Nov 2020 #1
I think it's election night, as well. TwilightZone Nov 2020 #2
Let'ss take him with a grain of salt question everything Nov 2020 #3
And his estimate was right. Blue_true Nov 2020 #30
I don't think he limited it to the presidency, although even if Hillary won still short of 40 years question everything Nov 2020 #35
The Raging Cajun! CottonBear Nov 2020 #4
After 2016, it is rational to be anxious. Blue_true Nov 2020 #33
If that's 10 pm Eastern wryter2000 Nov 2020 #5
I think he meant 10 pm CST BannonsLiver Nov 2020 #13
Maybe we should start drinking early. lagomorph777 Nov 2020 #20
+1 nt flying rabbit Nov 2020 #36
Im sure he meant 10pm Central. honest.abe Nov 2020 #23
Don't polls close at 8pm pacific time on the west coast? I don't think they will call it until 11pm unblock Nov 2020 #6
Oh boy,Mrs. Green Jeans Wellstone ruled Nov 2020 #7
I think so too. LizBeth Nov 2020 #8
I don't often say this, but I agree with Carville n/t obamanut2012 Nov 2020 #9
I hope so! Got my champagne ready whenever it is called. Solly Mack Nov 2020 #10
Bottle of non-vintage Ayala Champagne chilling in the fridge for the last two months. GoneOffShore Nov 2020 #25
Sounds like a happy breakfast. :) Solly Mack Nov 2020 #26
This message was self-deleted by its author Solly Mack Nov 2020 #11
I'm with Carville peggysue2 Nov 2020 #12
The combination of precinct margins and precinct demographics will tell the story early. Klaralven Nov 2020 #14
You gotta believe with his political connections he has access to the internal polling beaglelover Nov 2020 #15
By Midnight EST we will know JCMach1 Nov 2020 #16
+1 Tracyjo Nov 2020 #37
I agree. I don't think it's going to be close Dr. Jack Nov 2020 #17
Oh, bless your heart Andrea Mitchell.... gracemcdonald Nov 2020 #18
I think tRUMP and his asshole supporters all know he is going to lose and are going out in... WyattKansas Nov 2020 #19
He has been saying this for months and I so hope he is right JI7 Nov 2020 #21
Yes PatSeg Nov 2020 #24
That's down 30 minutes from when he predicted it would be by 10:30 a couple weeks ago. mtnsnake Nov 2020 #22
Hah! If the winner is Biden, yes we'll know quickly FakeNoose Nov 2020 #27
Ugh, don't remind me... catbyte Nov 2020 #28
KnR Niagara Nov 2020 #29
Well, we're going to know soon Cha Nov 2020 #31
I hope he's right! BlueIdaho Nov 2020 #32
We may know the winner, but we may not hear Trump concede DFW Nov 2020 #34
I hope he's right, but if it is, it's luck Orangepeel Nov 2020 #38
Lawrence just had Charlie Cook on Bayard Nov 2020 #39
Bookmarked this thread. Will revisit at 10 tomorrow night. nt LAS14 Nov 2020 #40

TwilightZone

(25,418 posts)
2. I think it's election night, as well.
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 02:04 PM
Nov 2020

The timing might be slightly later depending on when certain states (like WI) call.

question everything

(47,409 posts)
3. Let'ss take him with a grain of salt
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 02:04 PM
Nov 2020

After the 2008 elections, he determined that Democrats would rule the country for the next 40 years..

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
30. And his estimate was right.
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 08:02 PM
Nov 2020

Had it not been for attacks on Hillary in 2016 from far left democrats, she would be standing for re-election tomorrow and would likely be in a position for a landslide win, after handling the SAR-COV-2 crisis soundly.

question everything

(47,409 posts)
35. I don't think he limited it to the presidency, although even if Hillary won still short of 40 years
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 10:17 PM
Nov 2020

and we lost the Senate in 2010.

I suppose his comment should have had an asterisk exempting him if there was a healthcare overhaul.

CottonBear

(21,596 posts)
4. The Raging Cajun!
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 02:07 PM
Nov 2020

I just listened to David Plouffe’s & Steve Schmidt’s recent Battleground podcast episode with guests Stuart Stevens and James Carville.

I feel somewhat better now, however, I am still very anxious.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
33. After 2016, it is rational to be anxious.
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 08:04 PM
Nov 2020

I have a bit of nervousness now, sort of like I had the day before the 2018 Midterms.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
20. Maybe we should start drinking early.
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 03:32 PM
Nov 2020

Remember when we had to time the joint just right at the Van Halen concert? Because we were too young to afford enought for the whole show?

unblock

(52,095 posts)
6. Don't polls close at 8pm pacific time on the west coast? I don't think they will call it until 11pm
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 02:10 PM
Nov 2020

Eastern time.

 

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)
7. Oh boy,Mrs. Green Jeans
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 02:13 PM
Nov 2020

does not like that kind of talk. Carville caused the so called Queen of the Reporters some major discomfort.

Solly Mack

(90,758 posts)
10. I hope so! Got my champagne ready whenever it is called.
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 02:21 PM
Nov 2020

Same bottle I had for 2016. Gonna open it tomorrow finally.

GoneOffShore

(17,336 posts)
25. Bottle of non-vintage Ayala Champagne chilling in the fridge for the last two months.
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 03:36 PM
Nov 2020

We're hoping to have it for breakfast here in France on Wednesday morning.

Response to catbyte (Original post)

peggysue2

(10,819 posts)
12. I'm with Carville
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 02:34 PM
Nov 2020

I think we'll have a pretty good idea where we stand before the end of the evening. Biden/Harris will win this thing. The only question now is the size of the win. I'm predicting a blowout. Could I be wrong on the size? Of course. But I'm feeling a Tsunami on the way.

 

Klaralven

(7,510 posts)
14. The combination of precinct margins and precinct demographics will tell the story early.
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 02:38 PM
Nov 2020

Once you calculate vote percentage estimates by demographic category, you can project to statewide demographics with margins of errors.

beaglelover

(3,457 posts)
15. You gotta believe with his political connections he has access to the internal polling
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 02:40 PM
Nov 2020

from both campaigns. He makes me feel optimistic about tomorrow night!

Dr. Jack

(675 posts)
17. I agree. I don't think it's going to be close
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 02:42 PM
Nov 2020

I don't think there will even be an early mirage that the election is close. I think once results start coming in, we will see lots of signs that Trump is in massive trouble

 

gracemcdonald

(89 posts)
18. Oh, bless your heart Andrea Mitchell....
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 03:08 PM
Nov 2020

You were trying your darndest to build up the fake tension, James Carville was having none of that BS! He waited patiently and smacked that down!

WyattKansas

(1,648 posts)
19. I think tRUMP and his asshole supporters all know he is going to lose and are going out in...
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 03:29 PM
Nov 2020

A blaze of glory for their last chance to get away with it. And deep down they really do know that tRUMP never should have been there in the first place and he only cheated his way there with Russia's help... They have been playing dumb and projecting outrage about his and their alleged honor being questioned, because they too know how dirty they really are themselves. All the mayhem you see are just immature assholes upset that their free reign of terror with the President of the U.S.A. encouraging them is about to come to a screeching halt and they will have to find some other obnoxious circle jerk dogma to get them off in some other scheme to make them seem important.

mtnsnake

(22,236 posts)
22. That's down 30 minutes from when he predicted it would be by 10:30 a couple weeks ago.
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 03:34 PM
Nov 2020

I love Carville because he never minces his words.

FakeNoose

(32,535 posts)
27. Hah! If the winner is Biden, yes we'll know quickly
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 07:44 PM
Nov 2020

If the winner is Chump we won't know for weeks until they'd counted all the "hanging chads."

'Memba them?



BlueIdaho

(13,582 posts)
32. I hope he's right!
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 08:04 PM
Nov 2020

All this last minute M$M horse race BS is driving me crazy. I’ve never seen so many people saying a ten point margin is really a toss-up in every state. I’m Really fucking tired of this shit.

DFW

(54,256 posts)
34. We may know the winner, but we may not hear Trump concede
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 08:17 PM
Nov 2020

I think he doesn't want to give Biden the satisfaction of doing on election night. I think he'll find some flimsy excuse not to do it, and wait until he gets the calls from Graham and McTurtle, and then do it discreetly at 2 PM on Thursday, or some such.

Orangepeel

(13,933 posts)
38. I hope he's right, but if it is, it's luck
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:56 PM
Nov 2020

I don't think Carville has his finger on the pulse these days

Bayard

(21,982 posts)
39. Lawrence just had Charlie Cook on
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:58 PM
Nov 2020

He is also predicting major Dem wins. Lawrence says he's the best prognosticator out there, and he's sleeping easier tonight.

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