Trump's trade war did a LOT of damage to the economies of those two states and irreparably damaged a lot of farmers. I believe the farmers will stay home - they can't vote for a Democrat of any stripe but they can't vote for the guy who tried to ruin them either - so the Democrats in those two states - who certainly have no problem with filling in the little oval for Joe Biden - will prevail.
Kentucky will be very close, largely because they better than anyone know how bad Mitch McConnell sucks. I believe that anyone voting for Amy McGrath will also vote for Joe Biden, so we'll get maybe a 2 to 3 percent win. Since it's winner-take-all there, a margin of victory of one voter is all we need, and we'll get more than that.
Similarly, South Carolina is in play because their senator, who is up for reelection this year, is a walking disaster. And once again, if you vote Democratic for the Senate you're probably also going to vote Democratic for president.
The three states Trump flipped to steal the White House will flip back.
I would LOVE to have these states: GA, SC, FL, KS, MO, KY and TX. If we can get all of them, we've got the GOP's most critical state (there is no path to 270 for the GOP that doesn't have Texas in it), we have a solid blue Atlantic Seaboard, and we've got a band of blue stretching from coast to coast. The optics of such a layout would kill the GOP for several years.
And thanks to the federal judge who told the GOP to get stuffed over the Harris County, Texas, ballots, we stand a very strong chance of taking Texas. Texas is an agricultural state, and has been impacted by Trump's trade war.
We won't take the American Redoubt (Idaho, Montana and Wyoming) where the looniest Trumpites live, but that's okay because the whole region only has 10 electolral votes.
Numbers?
Biden gets between 300 and 400 electoral votes. If I have to be pinned down I'll say 350 to 360. This one's going to be a bloodbath for the GOP, in a figurative sense. They will use the excuse "he was a Democrat the whole time" to dump Trump without bloodshed. Expect reports of small fires in the middle of the street from coast to coast as these guys pour gas on their Trump merch and set it afire.
The Senate will break for us. My estimate is 52 to 55 seats will have Democrats in them come the next cycle. We will then get rid of the filibuster and fix this country once and for all.
We will expand our majority in the House to 250 seats.
We will also flip several state houses. This will be a huge problem for the GOP because we will degerrymander the states we take back. Personally, I'd regerrymander them to dilute the Republican vote to the point the only Republican congressmen will come from 3-EV and 4-EV states that are packed with Republicans anyway...but I am feeling especially evil toward the GOP this week.
= new reply since forum marked as read
