So which state do you think will have the closest % margin (regardless of who wins)?

[Statistical]

In 2016 it was NH, MI, WI, and PA (all under 1% margin).

Right now the prediction market is calling the top 3 as PA, OH, and FL although tied with only 13% chance each (at the time of this post). The fact that there is no clear frontrunner and nobody over 13% is another way of saying nobody knows for sure.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6687/Which-state-will-be-won-by-the-smallest-margin-in-the-presidential-election

What are your thoughts?

[Lochloosa]

1. FL

[DanieRains]

2. OH

[Tribetime]

3. I'd say Ohio closest Iowa 2nd Georgia 3rd Texas 4th

North Carolina 5th Arizona 6th.....all states for Joe

[sfstaxprep]

4. The One repubs Decide To Steal nt

[Buckeye_Democrat]

5. Ohio is my guess.

It's been on a razor's edge for many weeks in the polls.

[happybird]

6. NC and FL

[NoMoreRepugs]

7. Florida ..... trump lite Rick DeSantis will see to it.

[BainsBane]

8. FL

I think Trump will do there. I only hope he doesn't win, but it is a distinct possibility
We can, however ,win without Florida.

[Buckeye_Democrat]

9. It looks like America's two favorite states...

... after 2000 and 2004 are far in the lead so far.

about favorites.

[MoonlitKnight]

10. Florida

But I hope we pull away tomorrow and never look back.

[gopiscrap]

11. OH or FL

[roamer65]

12. Ohio.

[Withywindle]

13. NC and FL n/t

[doc03]

14. Pennsylvania

[greenjar_01]

15. Ohio. Biden +36,000 votes

Biden 2,806,500 50%
Trump 2,734,500 48.8%

60,000 or so on others.

[Vivienne235729]

16. OH. FL and AZ seem to be running neck and neck though between the 2, I'd

Go w AZ to go blue before FL. But I think FL will go blue before OH.

[PTWB]

17. Texas.

[Statistical]

18. An optimist I see. I hope you are right.

[PTWB]

19. The huge surge in turnout has to be good for something.

If we can’t hope for the best after seeing 4 years of this train wreck, when can we?

I want to believe in my fellow Americans.