General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRepublicans will likely need to he up 4%+ in returns for Trump to win Florida...
Even if you see numbers that suggest more Republicans are voting than Democrats - that is fine. The expectation is that NPA (No Party Affiliated) voters are going to break heavily for Biden. Couple that with the strong Democratic support Biden has (fewer flips) and for Trump to win Florida, he likely needs to have a +4 GOP electorate and right now he's not getting it.
Johnny2X2X
(18,967 posts)Trump won't win 90% of FL Republicans, Biden is going to win 98% of Dems, and also win Independents too.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)I will give him the benefit of the doubt and say he hangs onto the base.
Johnny2X2X
(18,967 posts)I saw 87-13 for Reps voting for Trump and 97-2 for Dems voting for Joe, those numbers would mean a landslide for Joe in FL.
wryter2000
(46,023 posts)There's at least one other thread saying the same thing. Thanks to you both!
I saved your projection for tonight. I can't wait to follow along as it all turns true.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)Drahthaardogs
(6,843 posts)Assuming crossovers and indies break our way, we win Florida