General Discussion
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(33,319 posts)Will NPA break 50/50 or otherwise?
getagrip_already
(14,697 posts)getagrip_already
(14,697 posts)"Not the turnout they were hoping for... or needed...."
Love it!
Dem2
(8,168 posts)lindysalsagal
(20,648 posts)They would need a higher turnout today to surpass that. and it's not happening yet. Great news!
PTWB
(4,131 posts)If they break like they did in 2018 (and like the polling suggests) Biden can still win FL pretty well, but at this point we're relying on the NPAs and not the Dems to carry us to victory in FL. I'd rather have a Dem lead at this point than rely on NPAs.
Mike 03
(16,616 posts)numbers for a couple of hours, not sure what to make of them.
PTWB
(4,131 posts)Link to tweet
For reference, Rs were (+~57,000) in 2016.
We need NPAs to break heavily for Biden (they went for Trump in 2016, but Ds in 2018 midterms) and we need some Rs to vote for Joe, too.
FL is close enough that if those things happen Joe can still win. But the Republicans are turning out better than they did in 2016 which could be a problem.
Dem2
(8,168 posts)This would give Republicans a 2.2% lead in turnout.
Using the numbers posted above, this would give Biden ~ 4.5% lead. Grain of salt here, but this is my simpleton 2:30 to 3:30 update extrapolated.
PTWB
(4,131 posts)FL is totally dependent on how these NPAs vote and if Joe can snag a couple of % more from the Rs than Trump snags from the Ds.
Dem2
(8,168 posts)ok_cpu
(2,049 posts)What is 'Other'? In FL can you be registered Green, etc.?
In Ohio we pull a Dem, rep, or "issues only" ballot at the primary and that determines our party affiliation.
Dem2
(8,168 posts)Link to tweet
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Dem2
(8,168 posts)Link to tweet
?s=20