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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBe careful getting too over confident on early returns.
North Carolina looks good right now but there's some concern Biden isn't winning it by the margins he needs to to push back against Trump in same-day voting. This is why the NYT, despite Biden winning by nine-points, gives Trump a 57% chance of winning.
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Be careful getting too over confident on early returns. (Original Post)
Drunken Irishman
Nov 2020
OP
cilla4progress
(24,714 posts)1. DI, do you expect any kind of a rerun relative to 2018,
when it was the votes rolling in over a few days that really made the blue wave?
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)3. Unfortunately, no.
I think Biden is unlikely to be playing catch up in many swing states. He'll be playing defense.
Claustrum
(4,845 posts)5. It looks like early mail in votes are reported first in the sun belt.
So Biden is playing defense with his numbers. The mid-western states will be different as they didn't get to count votes till early today.
Claustrum
(4,845 posts)2. Yes. I think Biden needs 2:1 lead to keep Trump's election day vote edge.
But maybe it will be closer to tie on election day votes.
Windy City Charlie
(1,178 posts)4. It's not trending well at all
I'm afraid it's going be another 4 years....each state Trump needed to flip from the polling he's getting. Just like 2016.