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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsNate Silver on Florida - kind of a sobering post (from 538 Live Blog)
NATE SILVER
NOV. 3, 8:39 PM
If Trump wins Florida, hed shoot up to a 33 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, per our choose-your-own adventure interactive. The key question, of course, is how much a pro-Trump polling error in Florida would translate to other states.
Dem2
(8,168 posts)My head is spinning. I knew this was going to be a long night, but why were the polls wrong again.
herding cats
(19,564 posts)I'm not saying we're out, we're from from it. But, this is not good potentially.
budkin
(6,699 posts)Also I'll still take those overall odds.
Goodheart
(5,321 posts)I can do what you do. Just accumulate some polls and average them. Big whoop.
You have zero insider information, zero insights above the average joe. FUCK OFF.
mzmolly
(50,985 posts)if I recall?
PTWB
(4,131 posts)mzmolly
(50,985 posts)Thanks!
PTWB
(4,131 posts)Windy City Charlie
(1,178 posts)The problem is our party can't seem to close the deal, we're not good finishers. Trump's rallies appear to be allowing him to rally.
kwolf68
(7,365 posts)Trump is doing BETTER in Florida than 2016. Incredible
AleksS
(1,665 posts)Gee! We need 4 more years of this!!!
I didnt like him before, but hes really grown on me in these last 4 years!
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,325 posts)But if you give Biden NC the odds get better again . Ohio would kill trump
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-biden-election-map/?cid=abcnews
Renew Deal
(81,855 posts)4-7 point leads for Biden.
NoMoreRepugs
(9,412 posts)covid in Florida by my quick estimation ..... I live here, I cannot explain the dumbfuckery amongst my fellow Floridians. It defies logic.
Dont forget DeSantis is trump-lite, skullduggery might be afoot.
wackadoo wabbit
(1,166 posts)to 270 (even if Trump does take Florida) are 85%. So don't fret yet.