General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsOne thing is for sure: polls are the new astrology
Wildly off, totally unreliable, no better than random chance
PTWB
(4,131 posts)Trump is up by 300,000 in FL. Thats way more than just the Cubans in Miami Dade. The polls are fucking wrong, again.
Joe might make it but its gonna be really, really close.
Yavin4
(35,421 posts)They never said that Biden was going to win a 49 state blowout like Reagan did in 1984.
PTWB
(4,131 posts)Yavin4
(35,421 posts)I did not know that.
PTWB
(4,131 posts)Everywhere that we have data - so far - the polls have been off. They're off in OH in Bidens favor but everywhere else in Trumps favor.
Yavin4
(35,421 posts)If not, how can you say that the polls were off?
Have a pleasant evening.
Ace Rothstein
(3,144 posts)exboyfil
(17,862 posts)Time to get the conspiracy tin foil hat on.
Eliot Rosewater
(31,106 posts)Celerity
(43,125 posts)uponit7771
(90,304 posts)Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)FL, NC and GA were all within one or two points either way.
PTWB
(4,131 posts)The same folks that had Joe up in these states had him up nationally and we can extrapolate SOME information from the 50 million votes already cast. Trump is actually up by nearly a million in the popular vote.
Yes, its early, but if Biden was going to win by anywhere near that much in the popular vote we would see it
We have enough information to say that the polls were off, just not enough to make meaningful conclusions about where and how much.
Claustrum
(4,845 posts)We can't rely on any of them anymore. I still want to see more though, polling in FL was wrong in 2018 too but other places are fine. I want to see the rest before I form an opinion.
radius777
(3,635 posts)Kornacki was talking about the border areas of TX, we did worse this time than '16, and I think those areas are working class Latinos.
calikid
(584 posts)you limited your posts to something you know about and understand, that way you wouldn't look so stupid!