We may yet win,but it ain't no friggin blue wave

[CanonRay]

[tman]

1. 270 is all I care about.

[PTWB]

2. The polls showing 8 point popular vote margin for Biden is way off.

That means the state polls are going to be off, too. We can still win this but it will be very close.

[spooky3]

11. How can you say that? Most of the states have been coming in as predicted by polls. nt

[PTWB]

23. No they haven't.

We’ve been underperforming or at the very bottom of the MOE.

Look at the last polls in FL - Biden was up by about 4, he’s down by about 3 in reality. That is a 7 point swing.

The polls had Biden with a roughly 8 point national popular vote lead. With 80 million votes in (likely half or more), Trump is up by 2% in the national popular vote.

Sure, that will change as big blue states come in... but it isn’t going to be anywhere NEAR 8 points nationally for Joe. There’s no way that this is going to be anything but incredibly close.

[Hyper_Eye]

26. The popular vote number will change significantly when the West coast starts coming in.

Republicans always have a lead in the popular vote at this point.

[spooky3]

33. Biden is now up about 2%-age points in the national popular vote. nt

[spooky3]

27. Per 538, Biden was up only 2.5% in Fl and they deemed him as having a 2 in 3 chance of winning.

Those are not great odds.

We all knew that the national popular vote doesn't matter in determining the election. Yes, California and other blue states have not been counted, AND many votes have not been counted in other states--e.g., in Virginia, which AP has called for Biden, the votes counted so far still show Trump winning -- because many blue areas haven't been counted yet. Chances are that the national popular vote will be much closer to the prediction than what you are now seeing.

[BusyBeingBest]

2. I'll take a fucking blue water balloon and be happy with it

if it gets us to 270.

[electric_blue68]

31. Lol - your metaphor is even smaller than mine -

I was going to say:

"I'll take a little blue creek".

[gracemcdonald]

4. Yep, if Biden wins it will be barely

[LizBeth]

5. I am seeing issue with giving trump Georgia, Florida and NC. So we really do not know yet

until each individual circumstance plays out.

[Mike 03]

16. I don't understand. For weeks we've been told to wait because the mail in ballots

would take time to count, and would heavily favor Democrats. And now why are they in such a rush to call these states. How have they had time to count all the mail-in ballots?

[LizBeth]

19. Some places are counting them same day, some after. But each of these states has other issues. But,

I agree with you,. We were told this would happen and here we are forgetting that we were told. We wanted easy blue wave and skip this part. I will wait until I hear on those two issues.

[Ace Rothstein]

17. FL is over and GA likely as well.

[LizBeth]

21. A blue area of Georgia has not reported because of issue, florida has 300k mail in post office

possibly and the judge tomorrow is going to have conversation because they were suppose to sweep the post offices and refused.

[Ace Rothstein]

22. FL is a 400k vote deficit right now.

Trump won FL. We'll see about GA.

[LizBeth]

24. Shennigans in Florida, I am still open and I don't need Florida, but I am not writing it up

off with shit going on.

[Claustrum]

6. I wanted a bigger win but anything above 270 is fine with me.

As long as I don't have to see Trump.

[Skid Rogue]

7. This is a lie.

[Hugin]

8. It is against an incumbent.

A damning referendum.

[Bradshaw3]

9. Let's remember the last two elections

HRC built a 3 million vote lead once the West coast results came in. Remember in 2018 that it wasn't a blue wave according to many, but once all the votes were counted it was a blue wave.

[SoCalNative]

14. And it still didn't matter

because of our ridiculous antiquated system.

[Bradshaw3]

29. Didn't matter?

Democrats took the House in 2018. Also the stands that votes are outstanding.

[SoCalNative]

30. And yet Trump ism still president

and the House couldn't get a over 400 bills even to the Senate floor for a vote because of the Republican controlled senate. Which will be the same situation after this election if we do not flip 2 more senate seats.

[Bradshaw3]

32. It hasn't been decided yet

Let's wait till it's over before becoming morose.

[Windy City Charlie]

10. It's just crazy

Trump needed so many states where he was polling behind and he's picking each one of them off, just like he did in 2016.

[Codeine]

12. So?

Winning is winning.

[Sunsky]

13. As long as we kick Trump out of the WH

I don't give a damn about how big the win was.

[herding cats]

15. It's most definitely not the referendum I was hoping for tonight.

I'm deeply disgusted in American voters.

[jimlup]

18. It might be... the mail in absente isn't in yet /nt

[Hoyt]

20. It is in many states, but your are right not all of it is counted, even on East coast.

[onetexan]

25. Obama said it would be close, so it is as he predicted

[Beartracks]

28. I think it's been met be a red surge in many places.

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