General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsI'm worried about Ohio.
No, I get Biden isn't going to win it. But Trump is now up seven and that was a state that looked to at least shift reasonably toward Biden's way. Except now it's trending to the same margins Hillary saw there in 2016, which means we could see a similar situation play out in Michigan and Pennsylvania.
BusyBeingBest
(8,049 posts)and not necessarily that they predict PA, MI, WI.
PTWB
(4,131 posts)Biden is down 11 in MI with nearly half the votes in. He will make a lot of that up with the mail in votes... but it is almost at the point where it will be too little, too late.
mvd
(65,148 posts)OH doesnt look so good, though.
PTWB
(4,131 posts)I think he will make most of it up with mail in voting... but to make up 11% with nearly half the vote left? It could happen... but it very realistically may not.
mvd
(65,148 posts)Havent seen anyone really worried yet.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)PTWB
(4,131 posts)Its a lot of ground to make up but not impossible. I look forward to seeing your analysis.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)The bad news is that if Michigan slips, there's no reason to believe it won't also happen in WI and PA.
PTWB
(4,131 posts)A lot of votes outstanding but a lot of ground to make up.
This is the nightmare scenario though - mail in votes in two or three, slow counting states will decide the election. Expect Trump incite all kinds of violence if he ends up losing this way.