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FYI if AZ holds up Joe doesn't HAVE to get Pennsylvania ... (Original Post) mr_lebowski Nov 2020 OP
Getting PA will be nice. ProudMNDemocrat Nov 2020 #1
Is that assuming we get Nevada? Ralston is not sure yet..nt helpisontheway Nov 2020 #2
What's the concern? Proud Liberal Dem Nov 2020 #12
Iowa possible as well. we can do it Nov 2020 #3
Ver, very unlikely marybourg Nov 2020 #24
Fox called AZ for Biden but not MSNBC or CNN. Claustrum Nov 2020 #4
Nor AP, nor nyt marybourg Nov 2020 #23
The only problem is sarisataka Nov 2020 #5
But no early votes yet right? MakeTXBlue2020 Nov 2020 #8
WI is still counting early votes sarisataka Nov 2020 #11
Michigan won't count till Wednesday Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #22
We expected this Sunsky Nov 2020 #13
And the early mail ballot numbers are insane in Pennsylvania! Biden will win that state. MakeTXBlue2020 Nov 2020 #17
If we lose in both WI and MI, sarisataka Nov 2020 #21
If joe doesn't get PA it is much less likely he wins MI and WI PTWB Nov 2020 #6
They may be correlated strongly but the differences could be so slight mr_lebowski Nov 2020 #14
I'd be much happier is Joe wins PA too.nt. BlueIdaho Nov 2020 #7
Busted my ass canvassing/working in my Arizona up until 5 pm today Olafjoy Nov 2020 #9
Thank you ! it wii be history turning blue after reliably red state for so long . lunasun Nov 2020 #19
PA actually seems hopeful, if mailin ballots get counted correctly intrepidity Nov 2020 #10
I'm just saying basically with AZ, MN, ME and that one NE EV mr_lebowski Nov 2020 #16
Michigan and Wisconsin are not guaranteed SweetieD Nov 2020 #15
Of course not ... mr_lebowski Nov 2020 #18
Wisconsin looks shaky Vogon_Glory Nov 2020 #20
Fox called AZ. Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #25
Feeling good about my adopted state ... mr_lebowski Nov 2020 #26

Bradshaw3

(7,484 posts)
22. Michigan won't count till Wednesday
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:47 AM
Nov 2020

According to MSNBC. Heavily Democratic. I think Joe wins MI pretty easily.

Sunsky

(1,737 posts)
13. We expected this
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:38 AM
Nov 2020

The in-person votes would go to Trump. PA won't begin counting their mail-in ballots till tomorrow.

sarisataka

(18,472 posts)
21. If we lose in both WI and MI,
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:47 AM
Nov 2020

PA is simply a consolation prize. We need one or the other for PA to be the deciding state.

 

PTWB

(4,131 posts)
6. If joe doesn't get PA it is much less likely he wins MI and WI
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:34 AM
Nov 2020

They’re all pretty heavily correlated.

It’s gonna be fuckin’ close.

 

mr_lebowski

(33,643 posts)
14. They may be correlated strongly but the differences could be so slight
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:38 AM
Nov 2020

It could easily happen that any given 2 of those states go one way and the 3rd goes the other.

We basically need 2.

Olafjoy

(937 posts)
9. Busted my ass canvassing/working in my Arizona up until 5 pm today
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:36 AM
Nov 2020

Seemed like a ton more Hispanic people were super engaged and women were just not having dumpster.

lunasun

(21,646 posts)
19. Thank you ! it wii be history turning blue after reliably red state for so long .
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:41 AM
Nov 2020

You are part of it !

 

mr_lebowski

(33,643 posts)
16. I'm just saying basically with AZ, MN, ME and that one NE EV
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:41 AM
Nov 2020

We only need 2 of the 3 of the Blue Wall ...

AZ is potentially BIG if it holds up.

 

mr_lebowski

(33,643 posts)
26. Feeling good about my adopted state ...
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:09 AM
Nov 2020

2 Democratic Senators, and if Biden wins here ... man that's a huge change since when I arrived 13 years ago.

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