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I don't think Biden is going to win Pennsylvania. (Original Post) Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 OP
He has to and will mvd Nov 2020 #1
said 3.5 mil is outstanding Nimble_Idea Nov 2020 #2
2 million in Philly and surrounding areas is what I heard... blitzen Nov 2020 #3
That makes me feel better. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #5
I think Nimble Idea (post#2) has it right. And the guy just on MSNBC was pretty optimistic. n/t blitzen Nov 2020 #16
he's down 510k votes now. 66% of 2,000,000 is 1,200,000 Roland99 Nov 2020 #4
Now add 23% to Trump. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #8
where do you get 33%? Roland99 Nov 2020 #15
This message was self-deleted by its author Doodley Nov 2020 #6
MSNBC on Pennslyvania HiltonHeadDem Nov 2020 #7
You've got to be kidding!!!!!! Skid Rogue Nov 2020 #9
Is it possible to ask to wait until Friday or when all the votes will be counted? Lock him up. Nov 2020 #10
as long as we win NV, NE-2, WI, and MI, then PA does not matter (AZ going Biden was huge) Celerity Nov 2020 #11
There are early vote out there too...and in some places less than 20% of the vote is in... Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #12
Did you think he would be the nominee? PubliusEnigma Nov 2020 #13
Stop the damn doom and gloom. New Breed Leader Nov 2020 #14
Analysis isn't doom and gloom, unless facts are a problem for you. PTWB Nov 2020 #23
Agree! It doesn't help.. it's still looking + for Biden. It just wasn't the big win we hoped for Thekaspervote Nov 2020 #25
Ah,2 million ballots to count. Wellstone ruled Nov 2020 #17
math is hard TeamPooka Nov 2020 #18
This message was self-deleted by its author Doodley Nov 2020 #19
Sorry. When I did the math, I mixed up Trump's total with Biden's. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #20
It's ok. Stressful day. MissB Nov 2020 #22
Yeah, I did a quick calculation in my head Dem2 Nov 2020 #24
So where does that leave your "chill out" messages? dpibel Nov 2020 #21
READ THIS! This is why I refuse to turn on the TV BumRushDaShow Nov 2020 #26
thank you for posting this. Biden will win PA and the POTUS!! onetexan Nov 2020 #27
We have to thank that organziation that provided us the $10,000,000 grant BumRushDaShow Nov 2020 #30
Best case scenario to end tonight... Moostache Nov 2020 #28
MSNBC just called Virginia for Biden MustLoveBeagles Nov 2020 #29
VA was called almost 5 hours ago BumRushDaShow Nov 2020 #33
Look at which counties have yet to report Rstrstx Nov 2020 #31
Agree. MSNBC just showed there are 800K votes still to be counted. onetexan Nov 2020 #34
More than that according to NYT Rstrstx Nov 2020 #35
Complete Bullshit!!!!! Skid Rogue Nov 2020 #32
1 million votes have not been counted is early vote or absentee. applegrove Nov 2020 #36
I'm starting to wonder Dem2 Nov 2020 #37
Of course Skid Rogue Nov 2020 #38
Of the three states Proud Liberal Dem Nov 2020 #39

mvd

(65,173 posts)
1. He has to and will
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:45 AM
Nov 2020

Suburban counties are huge and not counted yet. I live in PA. We were warned about the mirage.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)
15. where do you get 33%?
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:49 AM
Nov 2020

and I edited the previous. it's a net 860k votes. 66% of 2,000,000 is 1.2 million

Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

HiltonHeadDem

(34 posts)
7. MSNBC on Pennslyvania
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:48 AM
Nov 2020

MSNBC just said almost none of the 2 million early votes have been counted. This should net a ton of votes for biden (Early voting has Dems by 1.1 million over Republicans).

Lock him up.

(6,928 posts)
10. Is it possible to ask to wait until Friday or when all the votes will be counted?
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:48 AM
Nov 2020

Otherwise, many will get too anxious and it's not OK to risk harming their health.

Thank you.

 

PTWB

(4,131 posts)
23. Analysis isn't doom and gloom, unless facts are a problem for you.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:55 AM
Nov 2020

We know how many votes were expected to be cast, how many have been counted and how many haven’t.

A little math tells us which states are still competitive and which are not.

PA is possible but it’s going to be very, very close and could just as easily (probably more easily) fall for Trump.

 

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)
17. Ah,2 million ballots to count.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:51 AM
Nov 2020

And they are registered and classified party. Dems hold 86% of those ballots.

So,keep the faith.

Sill tons of Ballots to be opened and recorded in several States.


BTW,300k+ ballots held at the Postal Sort Station in Miami - Dade as per our Letter Carrier. Talk about a Crew that is pissed,the Carriers want Dejoy stung up.

Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
20. Sorry. When I did the math, I mixed up Trump's total with Biden's.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:52 AM
Nov 2020

Biden would have a lead of close to 400,000 votes.

Dem2

(8,168 posts)
24. Yeah, I did a quick calculation in my head
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:55 AM
Nov 2020

1.3 mil, 500k deficit = lead 100,000+

(not great math in my head, I'm tired.)

dpibel

(2,831 posts)
21. So where does that leave your "chill out" messages?
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:52 AM
Nov 2020

I honestly don't know.

You've been pretty cocksure that things were in the bag.

Where do you now sit?

BumRushDaShow

(128,903 posts)
26. READ THIS! This is why I refuse to turn on the TV
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:57 AM
Nov 2020
Latest 11 minutes ago
11:42 PM - November 3, 2020
Philly is still counting mail ballots and officials say they will continue 24/7


No, Philly has not stopped counting mail ballots and is not behind schedule. Despite reports that Philadelphia has stopped counting its mail ballots or is significantly behind schedule, the livestream from the Convention Center shows workers making their way through yellow bins full of ballots.

City elections officials said they were working to count ballots around the clock, as planned. “We are doing the canvass, we are not stopping for nobody,” said Omar Sabir, one of three city commissioners, who run elections. “We’re here, we’re counting. The count has not stopped.” If anything, another elections official said, Philadelphia is ahead of schedule when it comes to tallying mail ballots.


The confusion may stem from national news organizations' unfamiliarity with election results reporting in Pennsylvania. Counties do not always update the state system as often as they update their own websites, and at 11:40 p.m. the state’s website showed only 74,132 votes for Biden and 32,414 for Trump out of Philadelphia. At the same time, the city’s own website showed 248,931 votes for Biden and 78,136 for Trump.

https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/live/elections-2020-results-candidates-updates-news-pennsylvania-20201103.html#card-1778940190


ETA - Mail-in ballots being canvassed LIVE at the PA Convention Center downtown Philly -

BumRushDaShow

(128,903 posts)
30. We have to thank that organziation that provided us the $10,000,000 grant
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:08 AM
Nov 2020

to help bolster our operations. We were able to buy a bunch of new scanners, letter extractors, and pay for those workers manning the operations plus provide them with PPE, AND to work 8 hour shifts to get it done. The camera is focusing on the people doing the extractions but earlier they had pulled the camera back to show the scanning machines too.



Moostache

(9,895 posts)
28. Best case scenario to end tonight...
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:01 AM
Nov 2020

In reality - MI and WI won't be known tonight either, so this is what I am hanging hopes on - assumed wins in 2 states that are not currently in the Blue column...though the totals and breakdowns seem to indicate a positive outcome...



In this scenario, Biden needs any one of the three and he wins, Trump needs all three.

VA is making me nervous not being called and seeing some odd #'s (PTSD from '16 for sure...) and NC is razor thin from what I see...

BumRushDaShow

(128,903 posts)
33. VA was called almost 5 hours ago
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:16 AM
Nov 2020



TEXT

AP Politics
@AP_Politics
BREAKING: Joe Biden wins Virginia. #APracecall at 7:36 p.m. EST. #Election2020
7:37 PM · Nov 3, 2020
20.7K
5.8K people are Tweeting about this

Rstrstx

(1,399 posts)
31. Look at which counties have yet to report
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:08 AM
Nov 2020

All but a couple of red counties are virtually all in while Philadelphia is the only large blue county that is anywhere close to being counted, and it’s still at just 40%. Most of the large blue counties have only reported 17-25% counted, meaning there are a butt-load of blue votes left outstanding.

Remember there were over a million more Dem registered absentee ballots turned in than Repubs. It’s all downhill for Republicans from here, that’s why people were warning about the red mirage.

Rstrstx

(1,399 posts)
35. More than that according to NYT
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:24 AM
Nov 2020

They show 4 million votes already in but that’s only 58% of the total.

Proud Liberal Dem

(24,412 posts)
39. Of the three states
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:43 AM
Nov 2020

If Biden wins PA, would we likely claim all three? How do we think Wisconsin is looking? That’s the only one I’m not sure will go blue (mostly due to Republican chicanery)

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