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Joe Biden now trails by only two points in Michigan. (Original Post) Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 OP
Is that before Detroit? MissB Nov 2020 #1
Some Detroit. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #3
Really? I haven't seen any of the Michigan numbers or posts on MI. LizBeth Nov 2020 #2
Source? KewlKat Nov 2020 #4
NYT is showing about 1,000,000 mail-in ballots outstanding VMA131Marine Nov 2020 #5
Sounds very encouraging.. TY. Cha Nov 2020 #6
That is correct! Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 #7
Biden looking like he has a decent chance in MI for sure. PTWB Nov 2020 #8
Bloomberg has the live count: radius777 Nov 2020 #9
Yes!! MI and WI can seal the win Rstrstx Nov 2020 #10
source please TIA Celerity Nov 2020 #11
Promising numbers atse Nov 2020 #12

VMA131Marine

(4,137 posts)
5. NYT is showing about 1,000,000 mail-in ballots outstanding
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 06:13 AM
Nov 2020

The ones that have been counted are going 2:1 for Biden. That would net him a gain of over 300,000 votes and well more than enough to erase his current deficit.

Johnny2X2X

(19,024 posts)
7. That is correct!
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 06:16 AM
Nov 2020

Honestly. MI is Biden’s! He’ll win it by a few hundred thousand votes. Wisconsin will probably be half that.

 

PTWB

(4,131 posts)
8. Biden looking like he has a decent chance in MI for sure.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 06:17 AM
Nov 2020

I think I’d rather be Biden in MI at his point but it’s still close.

radius777

(3,635 posts)
9. Bloomberg has the live count:
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 06:19 AM
Nov 2020
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-us-election-results/michigan
Michigan is currently midway through the vote-counting process. Bloomberg News estimates that between 76% and 84% of the votes state-wide have been counted. Of the votes that remain to be counted, a majority of them come from places that leaned Democratic in 2016.

We're down by 200k with over 1 million votes to be counted.

Rstrstx

(1,399 posts)
10. Yes!! MI and WI can seal the win
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 06:26 AM
Nov 2020

Even if GA, PA, and NC go for Trump it looks like NV is almost certainly going Biden, in which case NV+AZ+MI+WI+NE-2=270

atse

(42 posts)
12. Promising numbers
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 06:37 AM
Nov 2020

I haven't seen anything about Biden being only down 2 in Michigan so far. But this is from the 538 blog a few minutes ago:

Tim Alberta
@TimAlberta
Trump's lead is now down to 70,000 votes statewide.

And Wayne County (Detroit) has only reported 53%. Biden is about to stack up a couple hundred thousand votes there alone.

Tim Alberta
@TimAlberta
Folks, it's not just Detroit. There are tons of mail votes about to be counted in Grand Rapids, Lansing and the Oakland County burbs.

Trump's lead in Michigan is going to vanish.

---
They must have more updated numbers, because the New York Times still has Trump up by over 200,000. But it sounds like Biden could overcome that too.

If Biden wins Michigan, and holds Wisconsin, then Georgia and PA are unnecessary and just a possible bonus. We may know Biden won in a few hours. Knock on wood!

Also, if Biden wins Michigan by a decent amount, Peters probably wins the senate seat there, since he's only trailing Biden by about half a percentage point.

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