General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTrump leads by 618840 votes in Pennsylvania. The question is are there enough mail in
votes to overcome this?
SomedayKindaLove
(529 posts)Dems had about a 1.1M lead in mail in ballots in PA.
still_one
(92,138 posts)The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,674 posts)still_one
(92,138 posts)PCIntern
(25,533 posts)Basically we have seen an election wherein metropolitan areas are non-existent. It doesnt work that way.
dsc
(52,155 posts)he would have to win them by 50%. That would be winning them 75% to 25% so he would have to get 75% of them.
Mike 03
(16,616 posts)will go to Trump, constantly adding to his total, which means Joe has to get more than 50%. Unless my math is messed up. (My cognitive function isn't at it's best right now)
"Half" doesn't close any gap if the other half go to the other guy.
Mike 03
(16,616 posts)Thank you for your brevity and clarity.
Drahthaardogs
(6,843 posts)Was 1.6 millions Ds to 500K Rs
Mike 03
(16,616 posts)We must win PA. It's not enough just to barely squeeze past Trump.
Drahthaardogs
(6,843 posts)Mike 03
(16,616 posts)dsc
(52,155 posts)I actually think it can be, but knowing what needs to be done is vital.
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,674 posts)especially if I've been up all night.
dsc
(52,155 posts)Mike 03
(16,616 posts)your confidence got me through another hour!
Locrian
(4,522 posts)trump is ahead. if it's 50/50 then trump wins
Statistical
(19,264 posts)Not sure the composition of what remains but statewide mail in ballots are about 2:1 D to R. That would be a net gain of around 500K.
So it will likely be a nail biter. It really comes down to what the exact composition of the remains ballots is. Biden needs a little bit more than 2:1. So not impossible but tough.
still_one
(92,138 posts)without Pennsylvania, and if Georgia comes through that would be a bonus
It would be so nice if we can run the board with these remaining states
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Mike 03
(16,616 posts)He was up by 700,000 three or four hours ago.
Check out this post by Drunken Irishman. It might make you feel better:
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100214439448
Source on that 700,000 figure is a tweet by Nate Cohn, NYT reporter, about three or so hours ago, somewhere in this mess:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-arizona.html?action=click&module=ELEX_results&pgtype=Interactive
Major Nikon
(36,827 posts)Bidens lead in NV, MI, and AZ seems too big for Trump to overcome. If Biden wins Wisconsin, then PA, GA, and NC dont matter. Trump could win them all and he will still lose.
still_one
(92,138 posts)leading in Wisconsin
Major Nikon
(36,827 posts)Michigan and Wisconsin have 16 each so if those go to Biden hell have 270. Add Nevada and Biden is over the top. None of the other states will decide the winner.
BeerBarrelPolka
(1,202 posts)Wisconsin has 10
Major Nikon
(36,827 posts)But AZ, MI, NV, and WI still get Biden to 270 and that means its over.
still_one
(92,138 posts)Major Nikon
(36,827 posts)The rest should favor Biden