General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsIf Biden does, indeed, win Wis and Mich, what would be Trump's path to victory? You'd...
... think Kornacki would have discussed that, but maybe it was one of those bits of time when I dozed. I gotta get an answer to this, though, before I can go to bed...
tia
las
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)LAS14
(13,769 posts)Proud Liberal Dem
(24,391 posts)Besides that?
qazplm135
(7,447 posts)Pull ahead in NV or AZ.
DFW
(54,269 posts)Last I saw (forgive me if this is outdated), PA was about 2.5 million for Trump and about 2 million for Biden with 74% counted. That means 4.5 million out of 6 million have been counted, with 1.5 million outstanding, out of which a strong majority appears to be from Blue Country. To get to a majority of the 6 million votes, Biden would need 2/3, or 67%, of the remaining votes. Considering where they are coming from, he could get 70% to 75%.
We shouldn't be anywhere near writing off PA yet.
Statistical
(19,264 posts)I would be freaking out more if Biden needed PA. Currently called states + NV + AZ + WI + MI = 270
PA, NC, or GA on top of that would just be a bonus.
DFW
(54,269 posts)That bonus might make the difference between Trump being encouraged to fight it to January and to throw in the towel within a week. A twenty EV cushion would go a long way toward that.
Statistical
(19,264 posts)The only uncalled state that Dumpy picks up is NC (and ME-2). 306 to 232.
kevink077
(365 posts)I know Biden is up 8k, do the remaining votes to be counted (they say not until tomorrow) lean Dem? i am worried about this.
NYC Liberal
(20,135 posts)Johnny2X2X
(18,968 posts)These remaining votes are all absentee ballots. Biden leads among them 2-1.
DFW
(54,269 posts)milestogo
(16,829 posts)Celerity
(43,076 posts)Demsrule86
(68,455 posts)wins with 270 votes without PA or GA if he win in Michigan and Wisconsin. And I think both will be blue. But with more than a million votes out in PA in largely Democratic area and absentee votes, I would not count PA out. Also, Georgia is too close to call...Trump now has to win all win either Wisconsin or Michigan and hold PA to win. I don't see it happening.