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LAS14

(13,769 posts)
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:24 AM Nov 2020

If Biden does, indeed, win Wis and Mich, what would be Trump's path to victory? You'd...

... think Kornacki would have discussed that, but maybe it was one of those bits of time when I dozed. I gotta get an answer to this, though, before I can go to bed...

tia
las

16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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If Biden does, indeed, win Wis and Mich, what would be Trump's path to victory? You'd... (Original Post) LAS14 Nov 2020 OP
Nevada or Arizona. He's likely losing both. Outside that, he has none. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #1
Thanks! G'night! nt LAS14 Nov 2020 #3
Pennsylvania + Arizona flipping? Proud Liberal Dem Nov 2020 #2
Hold PA, hold GA, hold NC... qazplm135 Nov 2020 #4
Some Pennsylvania math DFW Nov 2020 #5
Yeah PA is going to be close either way. Statistical Nov 2020 #9
A very crucial bonus DFW Nov 2020 #10
Yeah I think Biden will win PA and GA. Statistical Nov 2020 #15
Biden holidng Nevada? kevink077 Nov 2020 #6
Yes and there are not many more votes there anyway. NYC Liberal Nov 2020 #7
Biden will grow his lead Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 #8
And that is EXACTLY the margin he would need to take Pennsylvania n/t DFW Nov 2020 #12
thanks kevink077 Nov 2020 #13
Whining about fraud and going to the Supreme Court. milestogo Nov 2020 #11
simple to show it all Celerity Nov 2020 #14
We will win Nevada and Arizona and we won the 1 electoral vote in Nebraska thus, Biden Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #16

DFW

(54,269 posts)
5. Some Pennsylvania math
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:30 AM
Nov 2020

Last I saw (forgive me if this is outdated), PA was about 2.5 million for Trump and about 2 million for Biden with 74% counted. That means 4.5 million out of 6 million have been counted, with 1.5 million outstanding, out of which a strong majority appears to be from Blue Country. To get to a majority of the 6 million votes, Biden would need 2/3, or 67%, of the remaining votes. Considering where they are coming from, he could get 70% to 75%.

We shouldn't be anywhere near writing off PA yet.

Statistical

(19,264 posts)
9. Yeah PA is going to be close either way.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:33 AM
Nov 2020

I would be freaking out more if Biden needed PA. Currently called states + NV + AZ + WI + MI = 270

PA, NC, or GA on top of that would just be a bonus.

DFW

(54,269 posts)
10. A very crucial bonus
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:36 AM
Nov 2020

That bonus might make the difference between Trump being encouraged to fight it to January and to throw in the towel within a week. A twenty EV cushion would go a long way toward that.

Statistical

(19,264 posts)
15. Yeah I think Biden will win PA and GA.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:41 AM
Nov 2020

The only uncalled state that Dumpy picks up is NC (and ME-2). 306 to 232.

kevink077

(365 posts)
6. Biden holidng Nevada?
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:30 AM
Nov 2020

I know Biden is up 8k, do the remaining votes to be counted (they say not until tomorrow) lean Dem? i am worried about this.

Demsrule86

(68,455 posts)
16. We will win Nevada and Arizona and we won the 1 electoral vote in Nebraska thus, Biden
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 09:47 AM
Nov 2020

wins with 270 votes without PA or GA if he win in Michigan and Wisconsin. And I think both will be blue. But with more than a million votes out in PA in largely Democratic area and absentee votes, I would not count PA out. Also, Georgia is too close to call...Trump now has to win all win either Wisconsin or Michigan and hold PA to win. I don't see it happening.

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