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TwilightZone

(25,451 posts)
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:43 AM Nov 2020

Note on AZ: there's a reporting error so the NYT estimate of 98% counted is incorrect.

If you point at AZ on their map, the following disclaimer pops up:

"Due to a error in a Edison Research data feed of results, the estimate of the counted vote in Arizona is too high. The actual estimate is that 86% of the vote has been counted."

That's likely why it hasn't been called.

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Note on AZ: there's a reporting error so the NYT estimate of 98% counted is incorrect. (Original Post) TwilightZone Nov 2020 OP
No relaxation until it's safely in the bag. BusyBeingBest Nov 2020 #1
Is that good or bad for us? What remains to be counted? nt Boogiemack Nov 2020 #2
If the 98% was correct, Biden would have won AZ already. TwilightZone Nov 2020 #3
The NYT site has been updated to reflect the error. It's back to 86% reported. TwilightZone Nov 2020 #4
Lead down to 3.5. This isn't over Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 #5
The remaining votes would have to lean pretty heavily Trump for him to catch up. TwilightZone Nov 2020 #6
They have a Republican governor, secretary of state tho, right? BusyBeingBest Nov 2020 #8
Depends on where they're scaring up the rest of these votes. BusyBeingBest Nov 2020 #7
AP & Fox News called it JonLP24 Nov 2020 #9
Yeah, I'm trying to figure out if the false numbers are just affecting the NYT BusyBeingBest Nov 2020 #10

TwilightZone

(25,451 posts)
3. If the 98% was correct, Biden would have won AZ already.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:52 AM
Nov 2020

It appears that he'll still win it, but we'll have to wait for the lead to become insurmountable now before it's called (again, by Fox).

TwilightZone

(25,451 posts)
6. The remaining votes would have to lean pretty heavily Trump for him to catch up.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:00 PM
Nov 2020

If my math is right, there's roughly 400k estimated to be outstanding. He'd need about 250k of those to catch Biden.

BusyBeingBest

(8,052 posts)
7. Depends on where they're scaring up the rest of these votes.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:00 PM
Nov 2020

Not sure from where they're still coming from.

BusyBeingBest

(8,052 posts)
10. Yeah, I'm trying to figure out if the false numbers are just affecting the NYT
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:04 PM
Nov 2020

results, or their results as well. (They called it in the low-mid 70's).

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