"Democrats cannot allow the emotional trauma of 2016 (and last night) to force us into hiding..."
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Dan Pfeiffer
@danpfeiffer
Democrats cannot allow the emotional trauma of 2016 (and last night) to force us into hiding as Trump spreads misinformation like a firehose. Joe Biden is winning. We should act like it.
Biden is Winning, Act Like It
Democrats need to push past our 2016 emotional trauma and project confidence.
messagebox.substack.com
https://messagebox.substack.com/p/biden-is-winning-act-like-it
Last night went exactly like we thought it would for most of the last six months. Like many others, I desperately hoped for a quick Biden victory with wins in Florida and North Carolina. Buoyed by a barrage of overly-buoyant polls in recent days, I allowed myself to believe such an outcome was not only possible, but perhaps even probable.
No such luck. Its 2020. The year we are not supposed to have nice things, so of course this will be a painful slog.
But heres the thing: I havent made a political prediction in the last four years and I not going to start today, but based on what we know now I feel confident that when the votes are counted Joe Biden will be elected President.
The Path
Joe Biden has multiple paths to 270 electoral votes. Donald Trump does not. Late last night, Fox News and the Associated Press called Arizona for Biden. Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Georgia, and North Carolina remain too close to call because of delays in counting mail ballots. Biden has the advantage in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Michigan. Trump has the advantage in North Carolina and Georgia seems to be a true toss up.
Perhaps the most important moment of last night was Biden winning the second Congressional district of Nebraska. That single electoral vote unlocks the map for Biden. The former Vice President now no longer needs to win Pennsylvania, Georgia, or North Carolina. With Arizona and NE-2 in the bag, Wisconsin and Michigan gets Biden to exactly 270 electoral votes.
*snip*