ME Senate: Why are folks giving up on Gideon?

[DonaldsRump]

Susan Collins, according to the NY Times, is below 50%, which means ranked-choice voting, kicks in, and 26% of the total votes still remain to be counted.

Gideon is getting the large majority of mail ballots, and only half the counties have reported that.

There's plenty of chances here, aren't there?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-maine-senate.html

[Freethinker65]

1. Yep. Notice McConnell isn't gloating, yet.

[DonaldsRump]

2. I would be concerned if I were Susan Collins

But then again, she wouldn't be Susan Collins if she weren't concerned!

[Freethinker65]

5. Ha

[onetexan]

3. Question is can Gideon catch up to the deficit with mail in votes.

[DonaldsRump]

6. Right, they are heavily favoring her

But also, if Collins is below 50%, RCV kicks in that favors Sara Gideon, or so I thought?

[onetexan]

8. this RCV is very strange to me so i have no clue what to expect and i think others feel the same way

we don't know what to expect to discern whether or not she can win because of RCV. All i can tell is she's behind Collins by alot.

[wryter2000]

4. Not sure how ranked voting works

Even though we have it in my city. I would guess that, if the third party folks choose Gideon as their second choice, Gideon would win. Right?

[eShirl]

12. it only kicks in if none of the candidates gets above 50%

[maxsolomon]

13. Correct.

If no candidate is >50%, then the 2nd choices of the candidates who finish BELOW the top 2 (Collins & Gideon) get assigned.

RCV is an instant run-off election. None of this GA BS.

[cry baby]

7. I'm not giving up!

*fingers still crossed*

[eShirl]

9. MPBN has Collins at 51%

https://www.mainepublic.org/

[DonaldsRump]

11. NY Times, updated 4mins ago, had Concerned Collins at 49.8%

[eShirl]

14. their vote totals are behind though

[Rice4VP]

10. Has Maine been called. The media isn't talking about it

[In It to Win It]

15. AP has Collins at 51.1% with 85% of the vote counted