I count VP JB 270: 227 + NV 6, AZ 11, WI 10, MI 16. Don't need PA!

[lindysalsagal]

Tell me I'm wrong?

Even if MAGAT gets PA and NC and GA, he's still only at 265.

[My Pet Orangutan]

1. NV is knife edge.

[Major Nikon]

15. Don't think so

Biden is ahead and a shitton of the remaining votes will come from the Vegas area.

[Cattledog]

2. 271, he got 1 vote from Nebraska

[StevieM]

4. She is including that in her total.

Winning Arizona, Nevada, Michigan and Wisconsin will bring us to 270.

We will also win Pennsylvania. It looks good out there. And we still have a decent chance in Georgia.

[doc03]

7. It looks like one heavy lift to get PA nt

[mvd]

9. It's down to about a 500,000 vote difference

We have made a lot of headway just from morning until now.

[doc03]

13. This morning the said there were 1.4 million votes no counted but Trump was ahead

early 700,000 possible but looks like it would be extremely hard to make that up. Biden would have to win
75% or more to make that up.

[Major Nikon]

16. About 70%

When you consider pretty much all of that comes from mail-in ballots from heavily D areas that's not really all that much of a stretch

[mvd]

18. True

I like our chances of getting that level. I also can’t see us losing PA while winning WI.

[Major Nikon]

19. The trend isn't good for Trump

The remaining ballots are mail in from heavily D areas. So not only are they coming from areas known to heavily go blue, but they will be from mail in ballots which are heavily going blue. 80% to Biden wouldn't be surprising and if the number is that high Trump will be handed a defeat he won't be able to lawyer away.

[exboyfil]

5. 270 with Nevada unless Maine 2 has been called for Biden

[exboyfil]

3. Yes

Unfortunately both NV and AZ are still in question (good vibes from where the remaining NV vote is coming from but won't get answers until Thursday). AZ is very close with again promising vote out. It has been called by Fox and AP, but not other outlets.

[Zeus69]

6. Nevada

Someone has to convince me that 7600 vote edge will hold.

[Sugarcoated]

10. Mail ins from the Las Vegas/Clark County will favor Biden

[lindysalsagal]

23. They're pissed about the lousy covid response that left their city nearly bankrupt.

Lots of jobs lost.

[Happy Hoosier]

21. Anything could happen, I guess, but....

The outstanding vote are drop-offs/mail-ins from blue areas that have heavily favored Biden. It may be a squeaker, but he'll hold. (hear me baby? Hold together! - Han Solo)

[Zeus69]

22. My thoughts also

But this whole cycle has me creeped out and not sure what/whom to believe…

[Sugarcoated]

26. Math

It doesn't lie

[Me.]

8. Has Minn. Been Included In Your Count ?

[lindysalsagal]

12. Yes. The 10 from Minn is in the 227.

[Polybius]

11. And what happens if there's a Faithless Elector or two?

Doom, that's what happens.

[Me.]

17. THe SC Ruled On That

They have to vote as their dtate does

[Liberal In Texas]

14. I was thinking the same thing.

Current map:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html

[roamer65]

20. PA, NC and GA would be gravy.

[lindysalsagal]

24. All in all, I wouldn't want to be rooting for the gop right now, that's for sure.

[Happy Hoosier]

25. Arizona could be a nail-biter.

Apparently there are about 600,000 ballots outstanding.

Trump would have to win about 58% of those to catch Biden.

Given that that are mail-ins, he shouldn't reach it. BUT. Nate Silver noted that these will be late returns, which will skew more red that the early mail-ins. Still.... I feel reasonably good about it. Nervous, but reasonably good.

Pretty much the same story in NV, but the race is tighter. This is rough!