538 live blog "What's left to count"

[NRaleighLiberal]

NATHANIEL RAKICH
NOV. 4, 3:22 PM
What’s Left To Count
Here’s the latest picture in every undecided state:

Arizona: Biden currently leads here by 93,518 votes, but there are around 600,000 left to count, according to the Arizona Republic. About 450,000 of those are in Maricopa County, which says it will release two batches of results tonight: one at 9 p.m. Eastern and one sometime after 12:30 a.m. Eastern. Some outlets, such as Fox News, have already projected Arizona for Biden, but our colleagues at ABC News have not yet done so.

Nevada: Biden leads here by only 7,647 votes, and an estimated 14 percent of the vote is still uncounted. However, those votes will all be either late-arriving mail ballots or provisional ballots, which should lean Democratic. We won’t be getting another update here until noon Eastern on Thursday.

Wisconsin: The Wisconsin Elections Commission has announced that all votes in the state are counted, and Biden has a 20,510-vote lead in the state. The Trump campaign has requested a recount, but that has not stopped some media outlets like the AP to project Wisconsin for Biden. ABC News has not issued a projection here, as the decision desk won’t project races that are within 1 percentage point.

Georgia: Trump currently leads here by 79,509 votes, and the secretary of state said during an 11:30 a.m. press conference that there were still 200,000 mail-in votes and 50,000 early votes to count, mostly in Democratic-leaning counties like Fulton and DeKalb. Fulton is hoping to finish all its counting by 9 p.m. tonight.

Michigan: Biden currently leads here by just 37,350 votes, but it will be difficult for Trump to close that gap because most of the uncounted ballots are in very blue Wayne County (Detroit). At 2 p.m. Eastern, Wayne said it had only 16,000 ballots left to count, which it plans to complete by 6 p.m.

Pennsylvania: Trump currently leads Biden 53 percent to 45 percent in Pennsylvania, but this one is a long way from over — 19 percent of expected votes are still uncounted, most of them Democratic-leaning mail ballots. Counties are working around the clock to finish counting, but we’re looking at Thursday or Friday before results are semi-final.

North Carolina: North Carolina has counted every ballot it had in its possession as of yesterday, and Trump leads by 76,737 votes among them. However, the state has announced that about 117,000 mail-in ballots are potentially outstanding, plus an unknown number of provisional ballots. Mail-in ballots have until Nov. 12 to arrive, and only at that point will more results be released.

[PTWB]

1. That lead in MI is gonna be really tight if we are down to 16,000 votes in Wayne county.

Unless there is some large block that has been counted but not yet reported.

[Ms. Toad]

2. Wouldn't it be expected to grow based on the demographics and timing of the vote?

37,350 + 5,333 or so? (Assuming 2/3 of the early/urban votes are for Biden)

[empedocles]

3. Thank you. Michigan looks good, and Nevada 'should' also.

[Ruby Zee]

4. Phonebanking today to cure ballots in many states

Many states looking for help with ballot curing:

[link:https://docs.google.com/document/d/12zlvKNHmoqxOmtEGsbX-AWQz5bkahYtnHPmbg173xQI/edit|

I'm signed up to call North Carolina voters today and tomorrow, and more if needed the rest of the week.

[d_b]

5. On what legal grounds does shitstain

Have to challenge/stop PA ballots? “Liberal gremlins stuffed the ballot boxes, very sad”

I mean seriously. WTF do they hope to accomplish?

[hlthe2b]

6. Good summary providing the info I'd been looking for.