General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsFXN has Arizona called for Biden
An Arizona win by Biden is close to game over at this point.
Why is FXN out in front of CNN on this?
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results
PTWB
(4,131 posts)Its still very close. This is what 538 says:
Wait outstanding mail votes? Shouldnt those be good for Biden, as in other states? Well, not necessarily, because Republicans have a fairly strong mail voting program in Arizona and this is the key part the mail ballots that were returned later in the process (the ones yet to be continued) were significantly redder than the ones that came in earlier on, as Democrats sent their votes in early. For instance, the party registration of the votes that came in Monday and Tuesday were: 23 percent Democratic, 44 percent Republican, and 33 percent independent or other parties. That is to say, a 21-point GOP edge, which would put Trump on track to tie things up.
But heres the bad news for Trump. Party registration may be a misleading indicator in Arizona. It has a lot of ancestral Republicans who have now turned into swing voters. Biden also had a big lead among independents in polls. And earlier batches of mail ballots were considerably stronger for Biden than party registration alone would suggest. So probably these ballots are going to come in more for Trump than for Biden, but not as strongly as he needs.
Theres also the fact that two other news organizations, the Associated Press and Fox News, have called the state for Biden. Id assume theyve put more work into looking into this than I have, so that shifts my priors a bit, but you never know and you will get incorrect calls occasionally. Overall, Id say this is Likely Biden but I dont think the state should have been called yet.
exboyfil
(17,862 posts)I am not sure what Fox News is up to. It seems to help, but nothing they do would intentionally help Biden or the Democrats.
PTWB
(4,131 posts)JonLP24
(29,322 posts)Biden is leading in Maricopa County. Where are the Trump voters going to come from? It isn't like Pennsylvania with blue areas that have yet to count ballots.
brooklynite
(94,358 posts)...and isn't willing to go out on a limb for Trump.
NoMoreRepugs
(9,371 posts)LeftInTX
(25,132 posts)Some of their site is not biased.
I just don't know how accurate it is.
There are 600,000 outstanding mail ballots. Only 3 million votes have been counted. Too much uncertainty for me.
getagrip_already
(14,632 posts)AZ will do a data dump at 6pm and 9pm their time. They think that will b everything.
LeftInTX
(25,132 posts)I remember they kept Obama's approval ratings at a pretty high level (Jan 2009 level) and they didn't show the fluctuations prior to the 2012 election.
I would be cautious about this. It is probably not even related to Fox News bias.