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Arizona up now. CNN Phoenix's County. Maricopa County. A 5 point spread. (Original Post) applegrove Nov 2020 OP
Five points overall between the two? regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #1
5 point spread. I don't know what that means. CNN reporter admitted she was bad at math and applegrove Nov 2020 #5
The ratio held Drahthaardogs Nov 2020 #2
So, how many left to go? regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #3
325k MissB Nov 2020 #4
I don't know, but it's not really important Drahthaardogs Nov 2020 #7
I saw someone else post... regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #9
I heard he had to get 27% Drahthaardogs Nov 2020 #12
Huh? kwolf68 Nov 2020 #6
He needs to get 27% to catch up and overtake Drahthaardogs Nov 2020 #8
I heard it was 21%... regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #10
The analyst I saw said 27 Drahthaardogs Nov 2020 #11
What the guy kwolf68 Nov 2020 #15
Okay 60% would be 360,000 Drahthaardogs Nov 2020 #18
This is so confusing Dem2 Nov 2020 #13
This message was self-deleted by its author marybourg Nov 2020 #24
Y'all are forgetting that 12% of Pima (Tucson) has yet to report Rstrstx Nov 2020 #14
so bdamomma Nov 2020 #23
was the most confusing report brettdale Nov 2020 #16
Th problem is the data dump was from Maricopa marybourg Nov 2020 #27
Kornacki said if the vote coming in is 60% for Trump, Trump wins AZ. QED Nov 2020 #17
This message was self-deleted by its author applegrove Nov 2020 #19
How? If he gets 60% of the remaining 325,000 Drahthaardogs Nov 2020 #20
65% of the remaining kwolf68 Nov 2020 #22
515,000 they said just now Drahthaardogs Nov 2020 #29
yea bdamomma Nov 2020 #21
Fox is trying SO HARD to pull Az back to Trump. Saying Trump will pull it out. anneboleyn Nov 2020 #25
I think Trump is kwolf68 Nov 2020 #26
Hes completely out of it jcgoldie Nov 2020 #28
And those were the early part of the vote mvd Nov 2020 #30
The Secretary of State just updated her site marybourg Nov 2020 #31

applegrove

(118,579 posts)
5. 5 point spread. I don't know what that means. CNN reporter admitted she was bad at math and
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:07 PM
Nov 2020

just reading the results. Me too as far as election vocabulary goes. I'm both good and bad at math.

Drahthaardogs

(6,843 posts)
7. I don't know, but it's not really important
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:07 PM
Nov 2020

The early mail vote was overwhelmingly Dems. Election Day was 27% Republican.

The theory was that these were the “late” mail votes and would break R hard. Didn’t happen.

Trumps not winning Arizona

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
9. I saw someone else post...
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:10 PM
Nov 2020

...that Trump won "almost 60%" of today's count, which would be very close to what he needs to prevail. Are you saying he didn't make up ANY ground? I don't have the figures here myself.

kwolf68

(7,365 posts)
6. Huh?
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:07 PM
Nov 2020

Trump got 59% of the vote on the first batch of new numbers. If he gets over 60% he could get back into this race. I think it was wrong to call Arizona.

kwolf68

(7,365 posts)
15. What the guy
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:14 PM
Nov 2020

On MSNBC said is of the remaining 600K, Trump could win Arizona if he gets 60%+ of remaining votes. On the first batch he got 59% so it stands to reason he could get a tick more and take Arizona.

Again, SLOPPY to have called Arizona.

Response to Dem2 (Reply #13)

Rstrstx

(1,399 posts)
14. Y'all are forgetting that 12% of Pima (Tucson) has yet to report
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:13 PM
Nov 2020

It’s a much more Democratic leaning county

brettdale

(12,373 posts)
16. was the most confusing report
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:15 PM
Nov 2020

Of the ekection so far. Hopefully at the next cross she will get her shit together.

marybourg

(12,607 posts)
27. Th problem is the data dump was from Maricopa
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:26 PM
Nov 2020

County and the Sec. of State has state-wide #s in her head and on her screen.

Response to QED (Reply #17)

kwolf68

(7,365 posts)
22. 65% of the remaining
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:23 PM
Nov 2020

600,000. There are bright red areas in the other batch of numbers.

There are 600K out, 440K or something in Maricopa County, which just reported 75K all trending heavy Trump.

Lots to decide. This is NOT over in Arizona.

Drahthaardogs

(6,843 posts)
29. 515,000 they said just now
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:27 PM
Nov 2020

Said Biden needs 41 to 43% and Trump needs 55 to 57% which does not make any sense

anneboleyn

(5,611 posts)
25. Fox is trying SO HARD to pull Az back to Trump. Saying Trump will pull it out.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:25 PM
Nov 2020

Ugh. Hannity and that idiot Lewandowski — it makes me sick.

kwolf68

(7,365 posts)
26. I think Trump is
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:25 PM
Nov 2020

thinking they will take Arizona, which is why all their chicanery is directed toward PA.

Basically, Trump can win if he takes Arizona, NC, Ga and PA. Trump is not as far out of this as we think.

mvd

(65,169 posts)
30. And those were the early part of the vote
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:29 PM
Nov 2020

Chances are the rest won’t be as heavily Trump as Democrats waited.

marybourg

(12,607 posts)
31. The Secretary of State just updated her site
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:49 PM
Nov 2020

in light of Maricopa County’s new numbers.

The new percentages are:

Biden— 50.71

tRump—47.93

This is an increase for tRump and a decrease for Biden.

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