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DonaldsRump

(7,715 posts)
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 05:33 PM Nov 2020

North Carolina: 5% of votes still to be counted

There is no movement at all here. I read that ballots can be received until November 12?

Does anyone have info on how many of the uncounted ballots are mail-in ballots? If these are all mail-in ballots, which ARE SKEWING HEAVILY TO JOE all over the country, is this why there are not calling it? I am ballparking (complete rough estimate) that 5% of the votes still uncounted is around 265,000 ballots. I don't what the rate in NC might be, but Joe is hitting massive mail-in rates everywhere.

Remember too, that Cunningham and other down ballot Ds might benefit from a vote for Joe.

More info would be great. I am just guesstimating all of this, but it's interesting why POTUS and SEN races have not been called in NC.

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DonaldsRump

(7,715 posts)
3. If nothing else, it might help for Senate and other races
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 05:39 PM
Nov 2020

Jon Ossoff is probably going to be in a run-off in GA because of Joe's success there. That means two open seats which,if they went our way, would mean we would control the Senate at 50-50-Kamala.

Even if Joe loses NC (and he may not), he can still help Cunningham over the line, couldn't he?

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
2. Yes, that's why, although estimates are that Biden won't close the gap.
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 05:37 PM
Nov 2020

But this is 2020, so anything could happen. Could be space aliens.

groundloop

(11,513 posts)
5. hmmmm...... rough estimate is Biden would need 63% of all remaining votes.
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 05:44 PM
Nov 2020

I hadn't looked at NC at all, but if the numbers are right then Joe will need around 63% of remaining votes to close the gap. The way mail-in votes have been trending that might be possible.

DonaldsRump

(7,715 posts)
6. I know we have some really informed NC DUers
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 05:47 PM
Nov 2020

Calling on all of them to see if we have real hope or if I'm just whistling past the graveyard.

If the bulk of the remaining ballots are mail-in ballots, those have been HEAVILY favoring Joe and Ds everywhere in the US. Even in dark red counties around the US, Joe is greatly overperforming with the mail in ballots.

If someone has raw data to analyze this, that would be great. Even if Joe doesn't win, perhaps it could help Cunningham?

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