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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTrump's odds of winning through a recount are nearly impossible
The Trump campaign says it will seek recounts in several key states, but that's highly unlikely to change the outcome.
Why it matters: Statewide recounts have historically only changed electoral margins by an average 430 votes, according to the nonpartisan election reform group FairVote. Joe Biden's lead in several states is thin, but it's not that thin.
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The big picture: There have only been 31 recounts in the past 20 years, out of more than 5,700 statewide general elections, according to FairVote's analysis.
Three of those recounts overturned results, but they only shifted the final margin by 239-440 votes.
The median margin shift after a recount is 0.015% of the total count. The largest margin shift ever seen in a statewide race was 0.11% much smaller than what Trump would need in order to hang onto the White House.
High turnout and millions of Americans voting by mail for the first time in 2020 could lead to more human error in ballot counting, but it's not likely to be enough to make a difference, Otis said.
https://www.axios.com/trump-biden-state-election-recount-rules-26b709d2-b5d2-4feb-9a17-670680d90572.html
Claustrum
(4,845 posts)And they are hoping to find some kind of irregularity and say it's stolen.
Wounded Bear
(58,440 posts)The others are so unlikely as to be a waste of money, but then Trump is pretty good at that.
coti
(4,612 posts)100% accuracy of the obtained figures is assumed, for the purpose of determining results, until proved otherwise.