After yesterday reporting 100% of votes counted, Arizona now reports more votes and lower Biden lead

[Towlie]

Yesterday the website of Katie Hobbs, Arizona's Secretary of State, reported Biden 1,645,277, Trump 1,629,845 with "Precincts Reporting: 100%" and all 15 precincts showing "Precinct Percent 100.00%"

That's a total of 3,275,122 votes counted with Joe Biden ahead by 15,432 votes.

This morning as of 7:55 AM EST the same web page is showing Biden 1,648,642, Trump 1,633,896, again with "Precincts Reporting: 100%" and all 15 precincts showing "Precinct Percent 100.00%"

That's a total of 3,282,538 votes counted with Joe Biden ahead by 14,746, which is an additional 7,416 votes counted and Biden's lead reduced by 686 votes.

[yardwork]

1. When all votes are counted, Biden will win Arizona.

[Frustratedlady]

2. Where are the military votes counted? In one place or in the state where they are from?

Have any of them been counted yet?

[kirkuchiyo]

4. When I was in

I still voted at my residence of record which was my parents house in Michigan even though I was stationed in Missouri.

[Frustratedlady]

7. Thank you for the info. So, it sounds like military voting is the same as absentee. Would overseas

ballots be considered the same? Those could be the extra, as I seem to recall Nov. 11th was the deadline for them to arrive. I would guess they would lean toward Trump.

[kirkuchiyo]

10. actually

everything I've read is that the military ballots were breaking towards Biden as trump was no friend of the military and their families.

[Frustratedlady]

13. I was thinking back to the groups he spoke to who cheered uproariously at every comment.

Maybe the losers/suckers comment changed that.

[Jersey Devil]

3. "precinct reporting" does not mean it counted all its votes

There still could be odds and ends of votes remaining to be counted in precincts that have reported their results to the state, such as late arriving military ballots, provisionals, etc.

[DeminPennswoods]

5. Exactly

Precincts/counties are counting provisional ballots now here in PA. The order was same day vote, mail/absentee ballots, provisional ballots, then odd stuff like the 29,000 incorrectly printed ballots that went out to Allegheny county voters and the ballots that arrived between election and Friday (3 days, but postmarked by election day).

[Amishman]

6. This, best estimates are 61k votes potentially remain

given that 2/3rds of these are either provisional or waiting signature verification, the number that gets counted is likely less.

Of those that are definitely coming, the majority are from solidly blue Pima county.

AZ auto recount is only at one tenth of a percent. We should stay well above that.

[Towlie]

8. Right, it's the 15 precincts each showing "Precinct Percent 100.00%" that DO mean that.

It's not the "Precincts Reporting: 100%" that means all votes were counted, you have to click on that to get the pop-up window that lists all 15 precincts and showed "Precinct Percent 100.00%" for all precincts, both yesterday and today. That's what implies that all votes were counted yesterday and that new, unexplained, votes have appeared today.

[PTWB]

19. There aren't new and unexplained votes.

https://www.arizona.vote/ballot-progress.html

There are ~61,000 votes in AZ outstanding.

Many folks have been tracking these updates since Tuesday night.

[LisaL]

9. I was very clear that AZ still had ballots left to count, such as provisional ballots.

NT

[Towlie]

11. You're so vain, I'll bet you think this thread is about you...

[LisaL]

12. No, I think this thread is about ballots remaining in AZ.

NT

[Towlie]

17. I think I get it now, you meant "It was very clear" when you wrote "I was very clear", right?

Last edited Tue Nov 10, 2020, 01:45 PM - Edit history (1)

[bbrady42]

14. This page shows what ballots are left to count.

It's a really good page. There are about 60000 left as of this morning.

https://www.arizona.vote/ballot-progress.html

[Towlie]

15. Thanks! So I gather that "Precincts Percent" means the % of counted votes that are counted.

Anything less than 100% would mean that some of the votes that are counted are not counted, so it's really assuring to know from that pop-up window that all of the votes that have been counted have been counted.

Confusing website is confusing.

[edhopper]

16. Trump needs

60% of the remaining votes to catch up.

[Towlie]

18. I concur.

Biden - 1,648,642
Trump - 1,633,896
Counted - 3,282,538
Uncounted - 61,577
Votes Cast - 3,344,115
Needed To Win - 1,672,058
Biden needs 23,416 or 38.0% of the uncounted votes.
Trump needs 38,162 or 62.0% of the uncounted votes.

[Towlie]

20. Wait, those two Katie Hobbs web pages aren't making sense.

4:00 PM EST, 11/10/2020:

Biden - 1,648,642, now 1,648,643 = 1 more vote.
Trump - 1,633,896, now 1,633,910 = 14 more votes.
Counted - 3,282,538, now 3,282,533 = 15 more votes.
Uncounted - 61,577, now 60,934 = 623 fewer uncounted votes
Votes Cast - 3,344,115, now 3,343,487 = 628 fewer votes cast.
Needed To Win - 1,672,058, now 1,671,744.
Biden needs 23,416 or 38.0% of the uncounted votes. now 23,101 or 37.9%.
Trump needs 38,162 or 62.0% of the uncounted votes. now 37,834 or 62.1%.