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Nevilledog

(51,006 posts)
Fri Nov 13, 2020, 12:10 PM Nov 2020

Now you can see the COVID-19 risk anywhere in the country, in real time

https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2020-11-11/covid-19-risk-thanksgiving-2020-what-to-expect


How likely is it you’ll encounter at least one person who is infected with the coronavirus if you go to a bar in Denver? What about a 100-person wedding in Baltimore? Or a Thanksgiving dinner with 25 guests in Los Angeles?

The answers to these questions — and many more — can be found on the free, intuitive and now peer-reviewed COVID-19 Risk Assessment Planning Tool. Built by a team of researchers at Georgia Tech, the tool is designed to help policymakers, event planners and individuals easily grasp the risks associated with gatherings of different sizes throughout the United States and, increasingly, across the world.

(And if you’re curious, as of Monday, you’d have a 78% chance of encountering someone with an active coronavirus infection at the Denver bar, a 68% chance at the wedding in Baltimore, and a roughly 25% chance at the L.A. Thanksgiving meal.)

The COVID-19 Risk Assessment Planning Tool was conceived in March by Joshua Weitz, a quantitative biologist at Georgia Tech who wanted an easy way to quantify the risk of attending events of various sizes in different locations.

The first iteration was a graph that took into account the number of infections per capita in any given county, along with the size of a proposed event. Later, that same information was overlaid on a map to make it even easier for users to understand.

To find out how likely you are to encounter a coronavirus-infected person at a friend’s white elephant party, for instance, you simply open the tool, move the slider on the left of the map to the number of people you expect to attend (let’s say 15), then hover your cursor over the outline of the county where the event will take place (let’s say Santa Cruz).

*snip*


6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Now you can see the COVID-19 risk anywhere in the country, in real time (Original Post) Nevilledog Nov 2020 OP
I get a paywall padfun Nov 2020 #1
Hmmmm...I didn't. Nevilledog Nov 2020 #2
Direct link to tool (bypassing paywall) Blecht Nov 2020 #3
Thanks, Blecht. crickets Nov 2020 #4
This would be great, if it worked. Maybe their getting too much traffic? lettucebe Nov 2020 #5
+1, "sort of like our current government." We'll hit 300,000 infections a day mid December & Putin's uponit7771 Nov 2020 #6

lettucebe

(2,336 posts)
5. This would be great, if it worked. Maybe their getting too much traffic?
Fri Nov 13, 2020, 03:20 PM
Nov 2020

I'll try again later, but for now, links don't work, and when they do, it's greyed out and non-functional, sort of like our current government.

uponit7771

(90,301 posts)
6. +1, "sort of like our current government." We'll hit 300,000 infections a day mid December & Putin's
Fri Nov 13, 2020, 03:39 PM
Nov 2020

... whore will still be quiet.

These bastards should go to jail

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