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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsFauci: Vaccinated people become 'dead ends' for the coronavirus
"So even though there are breakthrough infections with vaccinated people almost always the people are asymptomatic and the level of virus is so low it makes it extremely unlikely not impossible but very, very low likelihood that they're going to transmit it," Fauci said.
Fauci added that vaccinated people essentially become "dead ends" for the virus to spread within their communities.
"When you get vaccinated you not only protect your own health and that of the family, but also you contribute to the community health by preventing the spread of the virus throughout the community," Fauci said. "In other words, you become a dead end to the virus. And when there are a lot of dead ends around the virus is not going to go anywhere. And that's when you get a point that you have a markedly diminished rate of infection in the community."
https://thehill.com/homenews/sunday-talk-shows/553773-fauci-vaccinated-people-become-dead-ends-for-the-coronavirus
catbyte
(34,373 posts)DesertRat
(27,995 posts)we've been through over the last 15 months. Some people are ready to dive back in and stop wearing masks, while others of us will need some time.
Bleacher Creature
(11,256 posts)Maybe in a few weeks when the numbers are even better.
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)comfortable without a mask? Either you trust science or you don't. Aren't you being being illogical?
Bleacher Creature
(11,256 posts)If forced to take a position, I'd go without a mask. But at the same time it's still a big step psychologically. I realize that I'm not acting rationally, but it's just human nature. Ripping off a bandaid hurts so much less than peeling it off slowly, but we still do it.
madville
(7,408 posts)It has become both a comfort object (security blanket) and a symbol of virtue for many. Understandable that many arent willing to let it go yet even if they are fully vaccinated. If wearing it reduces stress and provides comfort to the wearer great, but I hope they dont expect everyone else to wear a mask forever just because of their personal attachment to them.
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)But they are saying that you no longer have to.
MissB
(15,805 posts)I still register shock when I see a show on TV where people are crowded together or eating inside a restaurant.
Itll take awhile.
Whatthe_Firetruck
(555 posts)...of people in Japan for wearing face masks when that SARS thing blew up twenty years ago. They seemed so self-absorbed and paranoid. Boy was I wrong!
IsItJustMe
(7,012 posts)different countries. The majority of the international travelers had masks on. I did not have a mask on nor had I ever been in a situation like that, but it occurred to me that it was an excellent idea.
When I got back to the US, I thought to myself that we should all be wearing masks, but nobody was. I wanted to but would have looked strange at the time. I was very glad when the CDC said we should be wearing masks.
Guilded Lilly
(5,591 posts)hearing from Dr. Fauci is comforting. I trust him in a world where trust has been beaten up.
birdographer
(1,323 posts)Not only because it makes me feel safer (for now), but if I don't wear it, how will others know I am not an unvaccinated virus-denying MAGA moron??? I guess I could get a t-shirt made to that effect...
ShazzieB
(16,370 posts)It's like, a few days ago, there were 2 kinds of people: responsible people wearing masks and getting vaccinated and science denying, conspiracy believing fuckwits without masks. Now, all of a sudden, the CDC is changing the rules. How can they NOT expect us to be confused af?
I'm fully vaccinated, but for now, I'm on the fence about masking. I'm going to continue wearing a mask indoors for now. Outdoors, I may not. It may depend on the circumstances.
My hesitancy about unmasking has little to do with whether I feel personally safe. I DO feel safe. But for the past 14 months, wearing a mask has been a badge of honor that I'm reluctant to let go of. I don't want people to think I'm one of those science denying, conspiracy believing fuckwits!
Dorian Gray
(13,491 posts)if you don't, then wear it.
Don't worry if people think you're maga. You're not. Screw em.
(I will continue to wear a mask on subways and in crowded places because my daughter isn't vaccinated yet, she's ten, and because I feel more comfortable with it.) I won't wear it much outside or when visiting vaccinated family or friends.
Dorian Gray
(13,491 posts)we need to be kind to each other now because there is a lot of trauma. But if you've been vaccinated and you arne't caring for unvaccinated people (kids or immunocompromised people), then you can let it go IF you're comfortable. If you aren't, no judgment. It may take more positive news for people to feel ready.
OnDoutside
(19,953 posts)tanyev
(42,550 posts)personally going inside the grocery store masked at 8:30 on a Sunday morning instead of curbside pickup or delivery, which Ive been doing for the last 6 months. Baby steps, and I am fine with that.
Merlot
(9,696 posts)Personally I hate going to the grocery store (except Trader Joes) and having this reprieve from grocery shopping has been one of the upsides. Shopping online makes it easier to budget, saves time, and I never forget anything : )
I now (post vaccine) do a bi-monthly run into Trader Joes and stock up on better priced items like nuts and oils.
tanyev
(42,550 posts)Ill probably still use it when we have other things scheduled on a weekend. For me I dont know if it saved time as much as it shifted when I put the time indo I spend an hour Friday night on my couch entering the order or do I spend an hour in the store Sunday morning?
Trader Joes was one of the places I was looking forward to but now theyve announced theyve dropped their mask requirement Ill wait awhile longer. Oh well.
BGBD
(3,282 posts)People employed as well. It takes more people working to get that collected and to yoi then it does for you to get it all and check yourself out. Nice time saver too. Curbside is a great choice.
LeftInTX
(25,258 posts)Arkansas Granny
(31,514 posts)probably less than my impulse buying when I wander the aisles.
liberal_mama
(1,495 posts)ending up spending $150!
Arkansas Granny
(31,514 posts)Even though I'm fully vaccinated, the vaccination rate in Arkansas has just reached 29%. Yesterday there were 202 cases out of 2231 test results. If my math is correct, that's greater than 9% positivity rate (correct me if I'm wrong).
wnylib
(21,432 posts)I used to use public transportation around town a lot, but stopped during the pandemic and confined myself to stores within walking distance of my home. This past Thursday I took public transportation to my favorite grocery store for the first time in over a year. Masked, of course. It was great to get items that I could not find at stores closer to my home.
This coming Tuesday I have a hair appointment for the first time in a year and a half. Will be masked for that.
Small steps at a time.
cadoman
(792 posts)Randomized controlled trials and peer reviewed studies: the gold standard. They will always beat some patriarch shooting from the hip.
Thank you Dr. Fauci for your service!
Response to DesertRat (Original post)
dalton99a This message was self-deleted by its author.
KentuckyWoman
(6,679 posts)He is actually a grand nephew ... in his 20s. Got the 2nd shot last week near where I live and came by for a visit. He was wearing a "vintage" T shirt put out by some Pro wrestling guy who's saying toward any challenge was "Just Bring It".
He said it wore it specific as a way of telling Covid who is boss ... and then stood up and did that wrestling guy's move. Had me really laughing. Great kid.
Still can't figure out how 1990 something is "vintage"
DesertRat
(27,995 posts)FakeNoose
(32,633 posts)I believe Dr. Fauci would only say this if he's sure of his facts.
I want to believe that vaccinated people cannot be carriers, infecting otherwise healthy people. But I'm not sure if they've done enough testing yet. It's been 5 or 6 months that vaccinated people have been out in public, and there aren't many reports of breakout infections yet. So that is a good sign but it doesn't prove that we vaccinated adults can't infect others.
Happy Hoosier
(7,285 posts)He has access to the data and the expertise.
TheRickles
(2,057 posts)superpatriotman
(6,247 posts)Finally living up to my guidance counselor's warnings.
DesertRat
(27,995 posts)KentuckyWoman
(6,679 posts)I use their money for 28 days and then pay the bill in full. They've never made interest off me.
Years ago I learned they call people like me deadbeats. Maybe they can be friends with Covid ... since, you know ... Covid thinks I'm a deadbeat too.
Pinback
(12,154 posts)Never pass on juicy conspiracy theories, never have to pay late fees, keep cars til the wheels fall off, buy new clothes only when necessary. I'm obviously not a good American!
Bleacher Creature
(11,256 posts)There have been a bunch of stories about breakthrough cases this weeks (or maybe I'm just particularly attuned to them as a Yankees fan) and this info responds directly to any RWs trying to use those cases as reason not to get vaccinated.
Marthe48
(16,935 posts)that'll show the safety of different combinations of vaxed, masked, unvaxed, unmasked. Just for my own use. Any ideas or corrections welcome.
vaxed + vaxed = unmasked inside, outside
adults vaxed + kids unvaxed = masked inside, outside
vaxed + no vaxed = masked inside, outside
no vaxed + no vaxed = masked inside, outside and social distance
adult vaxed + adult exposed to unvaxed person = masked inside, outside
Pinback
(12,154 posts)and
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/fully-vaccinated.html#vaccinated
The CDC doesn't mention kids as distinct from adults, but otherwise it's a handy guide.
Marthe48
(16,935 posts)I got used to ignoring CDC when traitor politicized it. I'll check the links
global1
(25,241 posts)When people don't eat - they starve - they die.
We the people are food for the virus.
When the virus is cut off from its food - like when we are vaccinated - the virus has no food.
Eventually the virus starves and dies.
That essentially is the rationale for getting vaccinated. Starve the virus.
Reach for 'herd immunity'.
beaglelover
(3,466 posts)Now that Im fully vaxed I look forward to a mask free existence except for some limited exceptions. Thanks Dr. F!!
Devil Child
(2,728 posts)48656c6c6f20
(7,638 posts)Am I not understanding the definition?
of a condition or a person) producing or showing no symptoms
So maybe instead of going and getting coffee people just up and say, I think I'll have a covid test instead? Are they really asymptomatic?
ProfessorGAC
(64,995 posts)First, some people are in the follow-up study group.
Then some situations come up, Bill Maher as an example.
To let a limited audience in, he & the staff are tested at the beginning and end of each week.
A day or 2 before the show he tested positive, but no symptoms and he felt fine.
Now, we know he's a breakthrough case, but since no other staff was reported positive (at least as of Friday) he didn't transmit.
They still postponed this past Friday's show.
And, there are vaxxed hospital workers that are still getting tested weekly.
You're correct that you & I aren't likely to go seek out a COVID positivity test, but there are likely loads of people getting tested that don't have to seek for it. They're in a situation where testing is part of day to day life.
Then, the stats folks can do some extrapolation to the greater population based on that sample.
CaptainTruth
(6,588 posts)From Beau Ties of Vermont:
[link:https://www.beautiesltd.com/collections/face-coverings/products/hale-over-the-head-face-mask?variant=39334003278002|]
[link:?v=1615834395|]
BannonsLiver
(16,369 posts)beaglelover
(3,466 posts)ProfessorGAC
(64,995 posts)You & I both got blisters yesterday for pointing out that for 15 months DUers were all about following the science until the science told us that getting the vax makes things much less dangerous. Science is good until it says something some don't like.
BannonsLiver
(16,369 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)This latest reactionary phenom also reminds me of the threads last summer full of posts insisting they'd refuse any vaccine developed while Individual One was in office, regardless of what scientists said.
That was followed, completely predictably, by the "unfair" reaction when it wasn't immediately available to them. Followed by, well, on and on. This one too will pass, to be followed by...?
I'm just surprised more people don't die of their heads exploding. Someone really should write an ode to the skull. It's not just for protecting us from falling on our heads.
ProfessorGAC
(64,995 posts)...is whiplash! Or a torn ACL.
Changing direction that violently can hurt something!
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)reACTIONary
(5,770 posts)... I wear my mask just to be polite and civil. Why cause others alarm or anxiety?
Vaxed, Masked, Tanned and Relaxed.
Larissa
(790 posts)The new CDC ruling regarding masks is based on an honor system. There are those who have not been vaccinated -- some are anti-vaxxers -- who intend to discard the mask -- if they even wore it in the first place. I don't care for the potential of being suddenly exposed to folks who may be asymptomatic or harboring an active case of Covid, even though I have been fully vaccinated. It is less worry for me to continue wearing the mask than for me to worry about my immune system being overloaded by anonymous exposure to the virus. According to the CDC, 36.7 percent of the country's population have been vaccinated. That's no where near what is needed to attain herd immunity -- which threshold is at least 80 percent of the population of the U.S. fully vaccinated. Most folks who have been fully vaccinated are older/elderly. Although older myself, my typical interaction in public is with folks who are younger -- in the age ranges of those with lower vaccination rates. (I live in New Jersey, the most densely populated state with 1,211.3 people per square mile. New Jersey was on lock-down from March 21st through June 9th, 2020. And when it was over, Gov. Murphy ordered that masks be worn in *and* outdoors. It broke the hump of the infection curve like nothing else.)
The New York Times: Reaching Herd Immunity Is Unlikely in the U.S., Experts Now Believe
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/03/health/covid-herd-immunity-vaccine.html
Some folks are of the opinion that the CDC made this change in mask wearing in order to encourage those who have not been vaccinated to wear masks. People can be as stubborn as mules and some have taken umbrage to be pressured about something that they could just be on the fence about. As a poster cleverly observed, folks who have been vaccinated can wind up wearing masks while those who haven't received their shots won't. The new CDC edict would have achieved the exact opposite of what was intended.
My other concern is about the virus raging out of control in some places, giving it free reign to morph into variants more resistant to vaccination immunity. We are far from a perfect world when it comes to exposure of those sickened by this virus. As long as international air transportation continues, we are all at some risk, as far as I am concerned. I live only several miles and/or driving distances from international airports. As we well know, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is an international hitch hiker. A mere two months after the virus emerged in Wuhan, it was hitting Swiss resorts in February, 2020.
Indian variant: People arriving from India spent hours in busy Heathrow queues close to other travelers
https://inews.co.uk/news/arrivals-from-india-spent-hours-in-heathrow-queues-insanity-close-to-other-passengers-says-ex-pat-1002477
Ford_Prefect
(7,887 posts)where never more than 1/2 wore them and only 35% are presently fully vaccinated. It is false logic to assume anyone not masked has had their shots at this point. Worse, it represents fertile ground for more spreading as people ignore safe practices in order to ramp up social activities.
The best public health people I know of suggested early this year that we'd need to use masks and social distancing for some time to come in order to build enough immunity and starve the virus. They said so in reference to the future effects of vaccination on returning to more "normal" life. So far as I can see we haven't done that yet here and much of the rest of the world is in worse shape with significant mutations arising from that.
While the announcement is a welcome first stage we have a very long way to go yet. We have begun to stop losing this battle. We have much more to do to win it, if there is indeed an end possible.
I can recall serious discussions that this is only the first pandemic. The expansion of population, erasing of natural habitat by that expansion, endless war, ruthless exploitation of the planet for Oil and other extractable minerals, and global warming have created a recipe for more pandemics to occur in succession.
We saw this one coming and the people with the power to moderate it happening to the degree it has chose to make money from the chaos and the dead, or to use the conditions for political gain. Some of them are still at it. The social damage out of this pandemic is nearly as pernicious as the disease and certainly as persistent.
The next wave could well be worse and some have suggested we may not be done with this one when the new one arrives.
Anthony Fauci has his point in that the vaccinations are working for most who've gotten them. The problem is that's only true where that it actually happened.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)But, not by the virus.
beaglelover
(3,466 posts)Ms. Toad
(34,062 posts)the death rate is nearly identical to cases among unvaccinated people. Using May 3 data - about 1.2% of breakthrough cases end in death. About 9% end in hospitalization.
I am not disputing his theory as to dead ends, aside from the disconnect with the nearly equal death rate. That is of course, the end goal - and for 75-95% of people it is accurate. But the 5-25% of the vaccinated people for whom it is not a dead end, coupled with the 60-70% of people not yet vaccinaged, means it is too soon to rely on dead enders to cut community transmission.
The weather will help. The effective removal of mask orders will make it worse. It may be a wash as long as the weather is warm - but unless the vaccination rate increases, we will be in trouble when the cool weather rolls around again.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)must be into account, including social factors that will affect mitigation efforts. The raw figures have value of course but need big adjustments before using them to assess actual risk, which I'm certainly not qualified to do. I've tried to understand the factors on a number of graphs and would need classes to understand the definitions, forget knowing how to apply them in dynamic calculations.
But we can at least know that 1.2% of 5-25% (?!) of vaccinated people is not a large risk for most, while most people at elevated risk will know it and continue additional precautions. And large percentages of those unvaccinated people are children with a much lower risk of contracting and spreading. Residents and staff in elder care and other health facilities will almost universally be vaccinated. And on and on. A realistic figure for assessing risk would have to adjust the risk for each age and other-risk groups before arriving at an overall estimate. Some counties have or will soon reach effective community immunity (what are the population figures for them?), others far from it.
Ms. Toad
(34,062 posts)Is death really the only thing you care about? (The numbers you provided). You do realize that that is the tale the Republicans were spinning to say COVID 19 wasn't really dangerous - "only" 1% died. That trivialization of the risk of COVID doesn't take into account hospitalizations. That doesnt take into account the significant number of individuals - even asymptomatic ones - who have lasting heart damage after infection. That doesn't take into account the long-haulers.
In addition, the CDC is (as you are) focused on the risk to the individual person, not to the community (including the 0-11 year olds who cannot yet be vaccinated, or others who either cannot be vaccinated - or cannot develop immunity). Our mantra all along has been that we have to work together to mitigate the risk; be responsible - wear masks, get vaccinated as soon as we can. And now we're abandoning it. I've been told point blank a number of times - well those folks will just have to wear masks or stay isolated. The exact same thing the COVID is a hoax/anti-masker crowd has been saying all along: Well - if you're worried, wewar a mask. It is ridiculous that those of us carrying the exact same community health concern we have all along are now being told it's each person for themselves.
The guidelines were focused exclusively on the risk for a single vaccinated person. The CDC should be focusing on community risk, which their tacit approval for unvaccinated people to go without masks dramatically increases. (I say tacit approval, since anyone with half a brain knows that unvaccinated people will now pretend to be vaccinated if called on to prove they are entitled to go maskless. Anyone with half a brain knows that these guidelines undercuts all of the community mitigation that responsible communities have put in place - just look at the video of Ricky Schroeder that's floating around today.
Most communities have nowhere near the infection rate (
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)My approach is just very different from yours. All big decisions have big sets of plusses and minuses. Of course some people taking off their masks will have some costs over continuing. I virtually never imagine one to be so far superior as to be the only rational choice, though, and not being even a medical or public health professional, I confess I almost never feel up to second-guessing the particular set ultimately chosen at length by a team of experts. Not a team working during the Biden administration anyway.
I do also have a tendency to rely more on those with real-world responsibility over the recommendations of others whose role as observers, usually paid, gives them the wonderful luxury of being able to be wrong with little to no consequence to anyone, and which usually rewards presenting other thinking, even disagreement.
We agree that of course individual community conditions will be critical, but I don't believe for a moment that is not part of the CDC's evaluations and plans, no matter what the caption on a figure says. The CDC controls pandemics hands on in real-world conditions.
Meanwhile, of course all the containment, kill, and mitigation efforts and results continue to grow. Expanding, not stopping. And as some areas drop below critical case rates, there will be expected huge shifts of focus to zero in on local areas of higher case rates and breakouts.
AND for all those worried by inability to check vaccinations, digital proofs of vaccination are being developed for those who will need to produce them, not to us, but for employers, schools, travel, etc. Many governments and businesses have been busily figuring out how they need to apply requirements, not if. Like Delta with its new-hire policy.
Speaking of community concerns, before too long people who are not vaxed will be unable to go to work or school while quarantining in a low-vax area of outbreak. That doesn't mean just losses to their income but to the communities' through lost taxes. Hmmm. SO much going on, way to much to keep up with.
Ms. Toad
(34,062 posts)Even on DU, a significant number of people are slamming those of us who say we need to continue mitigation measures. Those who reluctantly wore masks when there were health orders will stop. That is not growing "containment, kill, and mitigation efforts." It is dramatically reducing them.
Those are a few isolated places where vaccination might be checked. Most of the places we go on a daily basis will be populated by people who are not vaccinated and will never have to prove they are. EVEN during the mask mandate, store managers have told me that they prohibit their employees from asking unmasked people to vaccinate. Now that the CDC says it is hunky dory to go unmasked, it is likely to get worse than better (e.g. Trader Joe's has flat out stateed it will be on an honor system basis). Most places that the average person works are not going to require vaccination for employment. Most places people shops/eat are not going to request vaccination information for unmasked shoppers. It will return to the status pre-mask madate - when fewer and fewer unvaccinated people are wearing masks and no one will even consider enforcing the CDC guidance - which does not formally permit unvaccinated people to go without masks. The Board of Health in the county I live in lifted the mask order the day the CDC made the announcement, citing the CDC as the justification.
I have a long history (33 years since the first incident) of being required to solve medical mysteries, because our family grows edical unicorns that (in large part) I have solved, have preseented the solutions to the the doctors, and have insisted that the doctors run the tests to confirm the solution I have presented. That means I have more experience than the average bear in both reading peer-reviewed literature - AND - in making sense of case reports, and not-quite-ready-for-prime-time articles because there are too few cases or not enough time for more scientifically rigorous research.
Using those skills, and the knowledge and reasoning processes developed in earning two math and one science degree, I've been right on virtually everything I've observed/predicted as to COVID for more than a year (including whether encouraging/hoping people with do the right thing, and even when I have disagreed with Fauci. Specifically, I've predicted several peaks - and identified the downturns when others on DU insisted I was too optimistic. I told people to wear masks as early as anyone and earlier than Fauci (March 2020), explaining that they protected both wearer and those around the wearer as early as anyone and earlier than Fauci, explaining that it was transmitted by aerosolized matter as early as anyone and earlier than the CDC. I predicted that people would not wear masks based on altruism, and that changes would not occur until they were mandated. Feel free to check me on it.
Human nature is not likely to make this time any different than it was last summer when many governors were relying on people's honesty and altrusim to mitigate the community risk. I doubt that trend is going to change, since my process now is to engage in the same kind of data/research/reasoning as every other assertion I've made during the pandemic.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)continue mitigation efforts. And of course mitigation efforts will continue. And human nature won't change, we can sure agree on that, but many individuals are changing and will change their behaviors. We'll see how it goes.
I always enjoy reading your posts and don't need to check you on anything. Many of us have made predictions but yours are more detail based than most. On the big things we tend to agree No surprise when we're living the same event. We knew what was going to happen when we watched some of the people arriving from overseas allowed to just disperse across the nation.
You mention Fauci a lot. I didn't expect Dr. Fauci's recommendations to be what they should have been under Trump because I knew Trump's corrupt administration did not allow him and other lead government epidemiologists to do the job they were supposed to. We all did.
Of course there was a great deal of controversy over Dr. Fauci choosing to do his best to affect decisions and messaging from inside Trump's administration, a decision he likely reconsidered seriously almost every day. I respect his grim decision to depend on the many independent experts and news services to keep the nation better informed while he did his best for the many millions he knew would only listen to what came out of Trump's WH. I always considered the source and the exigencies and got my information from independent experts.
Same for the CDC under Trump, bitterly corrupted under the people Trump appointed to lie for him and keep it from doing its job properly, until he was able to just gut it. Which the appointees' public announcements kept proving, while inside good people tried desperately to do what they could.
Bad days. Tragic. We're still battling and living and dying with their effects, including the explosive epidemic of anti-science and anti-expertise sociopathy. But that was Trump era, and I'm in no danger of forgetting that the Biden administration's first great priority is to stop the pandemic and restore normality.
Hope it's as pretty outside where you are as here this morning. Gorgeous!
Ms. Toad
(34,062 posts)As I'm pretty sure I mentioned, the county in which I live removed the county mask order the day the CDC issued its recent proclamaton. Trader Joe's announced that vaccinated customers no longer have to wear masks (and **winkwink** it's on the honor system). Just last weekend a nephew (rabid COVID denier) got within inches of his masked aunt (who has an immune disorder) and intentionlly breathed in her face. If we are at the point at which that kind of behavior occurs even within families where there is generally some good will, it is even more likely to occur in the general population once the masking orders are removed (as is happening very rapidly).
If anyone with any sense wants to continue mitigation measures, I don't think we would be at this point in the pandemic. (Either that or there are very few people who have sense) Early mitigation measures crushed the growth of COVID 19 - and as soon as they were removed (with the expectation that people would do the right thing on their own), cases quadrupled because people don't do the right thing on their own.
As to Fauci, my main fault with him (and why I do not trust without verifying now) is his choice to lie (regardless of the altruistic reason for the lie) rather than remain silent as to masking. Especially anything relating to masks, transmission, best interests of the community, I now have to take with a grain of salt - because as far as I'm concerned, he has lost his inherent trustworthiness.
Gorgeous weather for my students' graduation yesterday - I haven't looked yet today.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)It doesn't interest me to formulate mitigation and containment policy I feel the nation should have if only. Even if I could, that horse has left the gate.
I really do have a higher level of trust that good people will try to do their best under circumstances that don't allow it and had acceptance all along that under Trump/Repubs all options to battle their holocaust would be deeply flawed and inadequate and that partial achievements to avoid total failure would be the best we could expect.
My distrust is for others who've earned it so grievously. If all those unhappy with the consequences of their own bad decisions had voted for Hillary, at very least half a million people in our nation alone would still be alive, probably hundreds of thousands more. Few of those who've proved themselves dreadfully untrustworthy and incompetent will have paid the ultimate cost of throwing her competence and commitment to the gutter, of in some cases literally choosing for RW depravity. No point in expecting repentance in those incapable, though, or future trustworthiness, and I don't.
We've still to count our dead; but back to moving forward in already much happier times, sounds like your graduation was as everyone would want it to be. Our older AR grandson has just been vaccinated, and soon he and others will be picked up and taken to get their new lockers, gear, etc, ahead of opening of the high school they'll be attending. He and his friends are all over the moon that it's actually happening. His little brother's level can't be vaccinated yet, and they're still out of luck for group activities. Maybe by or around the beginning of the school year, hope, hope!
As for us, Have Vaccination, Will Travel. Masks on board for places they're still required or needed. And this is GA. "Needed" to try to protect others will be a lot of places.
Ms. Toad
(34,062 posts)There have been numerus surges and - and at the beginning of each our governments have largely said, "We'll trust the people to do the right thing." When they prove they won't, we institute mandatory mitgation and creep to the next higher hill in the roller coaster. And then we look back and think, "If only we'd instituted the mandatory mask order earlier."
We're at that inflection point again. A combination of masks an immunizations have brought disease down to what is critcally high (but low compared to the last peak) and we think we can breathe a sign of relief and again trust people to do the right thing.
I'm tired of shouting into the wind as we're about to head into the next big hill - being ridiculed, and then waiting for the inevitable to happen - as it has every time so far. I see no reason for it to be different this time.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)sailing ahead, or at least no one paying attention. Many people here read what you have and/or other and know there's plenty to weather ahead and worry about. And world-class experts talk for those who prefer to get information that way. We have no shortage of informed sources.
Also, although plenty of leaders have encouraged people to do the right thing (that is what they're always supposed to do, part of leading) -- while others have encouraged their followers to spread fatal disease in a righteous insanity -- absolutely none of them, none who're themselves sane and sighted anyway, "trusted the people to do the right thing." They all knew huge numbers would and huge numbers would not. Good leaders have done everything they could to push those numbers up one way, while bad leaders (and some of these are really, really BAD, genuinely EVIL) work the other way. This giant struggle of our leaders to get more people to do the right thing than wrong has been observed by all of us, and commented on incessantly, for over a year now.
Of course shouting into the winds of a Biblical-level plague what many refuse to know and the rest mostly already do is going to be less than satisfying. It's not just you. It's everyone's experience.
But, around the planet millions of good, dedicated and often heroic people are working together through chaos, in coordinated efforts, to bring it to a conclusion. The positive notes in this country aren't from denial of dangers and problems, or of inadequacy of many of our efforts, but because we are nevertheless now far better organized and in far better position to deal with what lies ahead than we have been in the past.
"For they have sown the wind, and they shall reap the whirlwind."
Ms. Toad
(34,062 posts)Their recommendation is limited to vaccinated people - BUT - those who are not yet vaccinated are being "trusted to do the right thing."
Here's how well that works:
My state does't lift the vaccination order until June 2.
In the grocery store store I trust to enforce mask orders, since April or so I have seen a grand total of two unmasked individuals in the store. Two, in more than a year. One was very early on; the other was in the last month - and the jerk was told he would not be checked out until he put his mask on (and they stuck to their word). Today (a single day) there were 4 such idiots, some interacting with store employees and no one was saying a word.
We have already proven we cannot be trusted to do the right thing - yet every single time we make a little bit of progress against COVID, even the good leaders say, "Yippee, we're done, we trust you to do the right thing" - orders are lifted - and the cases go back up.
The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different resullt. We're heading into insanity, round 4 (at least).
I'm far more tired of shouting into the wind here, where I expect people to be responsible adults. And, the attitude around here the last few days really seems to be, "I got mine, too bad for you." That's not an attitude to be proud of.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)You see "we" refusing to do what we need to do. I see nothing of the sort. For one, under Trump and under Biden are two extremely different realities. For another, I'm one of many tens of millions who even under Trump never proved to anyone that we couldn't be trusted to do the right thing. Somehow you've conflated us all with the worst of us, and it's caused huge deviations between your and my views of what's happening.
I see most people sensibly doing what they need to do and what is right toward others, without needing orders. I see some too normally disengaged and ignorant to know what to think and do when it really matters, but most motivated by self preservation. And then there's the minority of mean, angry far-right wingers who created their Der Leader monster to smash our nation for them and lead them to do the unthinkable, like spread lethal disease out of political malice.
But, even those latter have not stayed entirely out of control, bitterly as they've resented the many businesses and and workplaces requiring masks. But they still have a great deal of political power in many states, and attempts to impose strong, uniform federal action would be refused and drive many of those states to further defiance.
Nevertheless, even if the Biden admin's actions are necessarily limited and politically strategic due to the renegade Republican Party, my viewpoint sees many big forces pulling our direction, and being encouraged and coordinated as much as possible. Not least is the need for business in even the reddest states to function, and without killing customers and staffs. And that requires continued vaccination and other mitigation and containment actions, pushed by businesses and governments who have the legal and practical power to do it. We will be seeing that happen, and I do not believe current reports of how many will continue to refuse to be vaccinated.
"Over 70 Percent of Older U.S. Adults Are Fully Vaccinated -- In some U.S. counties, nearly all people over 65 are vaccinated."
"Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) guidance has confirmed employers may require a COVID-19 vaccination as a condition of employment and/or to return to the workplace."
"Most U.S. companies will require proof of Covid vaccination from employees" (A broad majority of U.S. employers, 65%, plan to offer employees incentives to get vaccinated and 63% will require proof of vaccination, according to an ASU/Rockefeller Foundation survey. Overall, 44% will require all employees to get vaccinated)"
"Biden warns that states with low Covid vaccination rates may see cases rise again"
Ms. Toad
(34,062 posts)There is literally nothing I can do to help head off disaster. I'm the little boy who has called wolf repeatedly - but unlike the story, there actually has been a wolf each and every time I've warned about it for the past year and a half.
And - despite a crap-ton of people being eaten by the wolf that actually was there every time I've warned of it, people are - once again - still insisting there's no wolf there. Everyone will behave, and unlike all the other times, businesses will require mitigation. Haven't seen it yet. Don't expect to see it now.
I guess I'll have to learn to enjoy people being eaten by the wolf, since my voice is about worn out.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)And that is you chance of getting Covid in the first place of vaccinated is astronomically low. Well over 100 million vaccinated with around 10,000 breakthrough cases.
Compare to the numbers before the vaccine. 33 million cases. Close to 600k deaths. Now for the vaccinated. 100 million plus vaccinated with less than 150 deaths deaths.
I can live with those odds. Others may differ.
Ms. Toad
(34,062 posts)The CDC and regulations should be focused on community risks.
No one age 0-11 (outside of trials) is yet eligible to be vaccinated, and there are others who are unable to be vaccinated (or are unable to develop immunity). It is for those people that we need continued community mitigation - AND - untill we develop the fortitude to actually check for vaccination status, that means we need to continue masking orders indoors for everyone until there is a high enough vaccination rate + a low enough community transmission rate for it to be relatively safe for everyone in our community to move about without unnecessary risk of catching COVID.
In addition, your assessment of your personal risk is off. You are comparing, on average, 2 month of vaccinated life - while virtually everyone around you is masked and socialy distancing. What we are talking about now is removing all of the mitigation. Once the mitigation is gone, the actual numbers will increase. In addition, when you look at a longer period of time being vaccinated, the actual numbers will increase. They are not as small as you believe. You are being fooled by comparing 16 months of unvaccinated cases to perhaps an average of 2 months. Not to mention that the vaccination level is perhaps 40% - when it is 80% the numbers of breakthrough cases will be higher.
But my primary concern is not the risk to the vaccinated individual - but what these guidelines mean for community health (particularly those who do not have the means to make themselves safe).
GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)And I have not stopped all mitigation efforts. Wore my mask in 2 stores today. Did not at Lowes BevMo was only in the outdoor garden section.
At least where I live recommendations are all we have ever had. There was never a mask mandate. But there was almost universal compliance. Go 50 miles away and mask wearing was never all that common.