General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsChina's got some explaining to do.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.14.21260491v1In summary,
Cancer Hospital in Milan restests blood samples from October 2019 and finds possible COVID-19 antibodies.
The first "Official" COVID-19 case in EU was 2/20.
FWIW, Milan is a direct hub from the Wuhan Province because a great number of the employees at the textile plants and fashion houses are Chinese nationals.
Questions keep stacking up.
Apparently China tried to keep this secret for 2 months. The origin is unclear.
A 2-Month head start would have saved millions. Don't forget, the virus was sequenced quickly... months later.
This ain't over. The books and movies are going to be epic.
Note: personal thoughts... I think the US Gov't and Trump must have known about this prior to January 2020. The IC literally knows everything everywhere at any time.
I think Trump so treasured trade relations with China that he ignored intel reports and "believed/trusted" Xi.
The Magistrate
(95,244 posts)The doctors in Milan did not notice anything in October.
Why should it be assumed the Chinese noticed at that time anything out of the ordinary variance of respiratory ailments?
WarGamer
(12,436 posts)The Magistrate
(95,244 posts)This particular factoid does not seem of much importance. There have been reports evidence of the virus has cropped up 'too soon' in blood samples in several places outside China, and again, no one noticed at the time anything strange.
That the Chinese engaged in some covering up can safely be assumed, and you may be sure it was an internal cover-up as well as an external one. Local authorities would have striven to conceal a problem from the central authorities. This goes far back in Chinese bureaucratic culture. If you were in local authority under the Son of Heaven, and there were, say, bandits rising in your district, reporting this was quite dangerous. It was, in fact, a confession of moral failure on your part --- if you were a man of benevolence, there could be no disorder in your district.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Knowing what we know now, (or, frankly, what we knew then), if Biden had been President in late 2019/early 2020, hundreds of thousands of Americans would still be alive. The blood is on Trump's hands and he must pay dearly.
WarGamer
(12,436 posts)Strange comment.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)WarGamer
(12,436 posts)The story is about China bearing responsibility, especially if they lied or hid evidence and continue to do so...
This is NOT an American story. It's a Global story and dozens of countries are also asking China questions.
I believe that the WHO and the Trump administration bought the Chinese cover story with nary a question.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Attempts to emphasize and blame the Chinese appear to me, as attempts to distract from the bigger culprit, who actually caused most of the millions of deaths.
Starting from the point where we saw what was happening, we could have stopped this thing almost dead in its tracks, here, and (by example) around the world, long enough to make and deliver vaccines. Our government, for decades a leader in such matters, fell flat on its face because of the deliberate actions by Trump to make the pandemic as bad as possible.
All of that could have been done, regardless of any possible Chinese coverup.
It's probably not a coincidence that Trump laid a lot of the groundwork for a pandemic "from China," well in advance. He is the one who pulled our monitors from the Wuhan lab. That is not a coincidence. He is the one who shut down the White House pandemic response team. That is not a coincidence. Trump planned and executed a strategy of genocide by pandemic. Frankly, it's possible he had our departing Wuhan team plant something on the way out the door.
WarGamer
(12,436 posts)Who do you blame for the 1M+ deaths in Europe?
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)It's not a black or white answer, obviously. But you knew that.
By demonstrating poor public health policy, which other wannabe dictators modeled, Trump exacerbated the pandemic everywhere.
roamer65
(36,745 posts)Dump-Bolsonaro-Modi.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Sympthsical
(9,072 posts)Trying to understand the truth of how a virus that has killed millions originally started is not absolving Trump of any of his incompetence and malevolent negligence.
You've tried this tack every single time Lab Leak theory is brought up.
We're supposed to be about The Truth.
Even the Biden administration is taking this seriously.
Why are you so investing in trying to debunk it?
No one is trying to absolve Trump here. At least, not on this board. I want to know why millions died - millions Trump had nothing to do with. I want us to know the truth, so it never happens again if it can be helped.
Jacoby365
(451 posts)WarGamer
(12,436 posts)roamer65
(36,745 posts)Who knows where it made the zoonotic transfer.
We will never know exactly.
WarGamer
(12,436 posts)It'll just take time and research. And hopefully cooperation from China.
roamer65
(36,745 posts)It will remain a mystery just like the 1918 flu virus, IMO.
Even if it came from China, what would we do about it?
Start WW3?
WarGamer
(12,436 posts)If you get home from work and your couch is torn to shreds and your puppy German Shepherd has an upset tummy and throws up foam and fabric... you can make a strong assumption.
roamer65
(36,745 posts)lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)WarGamer
(12,436 posts)With the America PATRIOT vaccine, Moderna... made right around the corner from Boston.
roamer65
(36,745 posts)Freedom fries, too?
At least ur vaccinated, so ur not part of the problem.
WarGamer
(12,436 posts)Saying that the vaccines should have been marketed to the public in a more patriotic manner...
And because Moderna is the only Made/Developed in the USA C19 vaccine.
Johonny
(20,835 posts)Clearly the Chinese people knew by late December so US intelligence knew by then without a doubt. Trump was likely briefed well before January, but he's an idiot.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)We had no idea what they were, but they were suddenly killing people (including young people) with a mysterious "flu."
Sympthsical
(9,072 posts)And all electronic surveillance went silent.
They still have no explanation for it. But it may be a clue that something went on there.
roamer65
(36,745 posts)Id love to know more about that if so.
Sympthsical
(9,072 posts)I should've couched my terms. It *may* have been. They're still sifting. But that news report was two and a half months ago, and the Biden administration has been coming out more firmly about the possibility of a lab leak.
So maybe they've learned something about this since then.
roamer65
(36,745 posts)Scrivener7
(50,949 posts)That's dated November 2020.
Why does China have explaining to do? Why not Italy?
What have you found that says it didn't originate in Italy, where it existed as early as September, rather than China?
WarGamer
(12,436 posts)I'll trust the Scientists.
https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-health-coronavirus-italy-china-idUKKBN27Z2QQ
The Chinese government said on Tuesday it believed the study showed that tracing the origin of the virus was an ongoing process that may involve many countries.
But the Italian researchers said thats not necessarily their conclusion.
These findings simply document that the epidemic in China was not detected in time, Giovanni Apolone, scientific director of National Cancer Institute (INT) and a co-author of the study, told a news conference in Milan.
Scrivener7
(50,949 posts)ProfessorGAC
(65,000 posts)They had explaining to do, anyway.
Their, now obvious, to suppress the severity of the outbreak there delayed preemptive measures elsewhere and didn't get public attention on the seriousness earlier.
They've got blood on their hands, despite this finding.
roamer65
(36,745 posts)Who cares where I came from? I certainly dont.
Im here and loving my new homes. BFF.
-Delta
WarGamer
(12,436 posts)roamer65
(36,745 posts)Cant party alone. Takes two to tango...Er....recombinate.
-delta
I even have a sense of humor.
What happens when you recombinate me with a norovirus?
-Delta
Mariana
(14,854 posts)Have they found any definite Covid-19 antibodies?
lapucelle
(18,252 posts)The bolding is theirs:
medRxiv (pronounced "med-archive" ) is a free online archive and distribution server for complete but unpublished manuscripts (preprints) in the medical, clinical, and related health sciences. Preprints are preliminary reports of work that have not been certified by peer review. They should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.
*****************************************************************************************
The authors caution readers about the limitations of the study and explicitly state that the evidence and findings do not allow them to either confirm or deny the hypothesis "that SARS-CoV-2 was growing under the surface for some time before the first diagnosed case in Wuhan".
From the Discussion section:
Suggestive evidence from our previous published study and conflicting results from the current retesting exercise, despite adding important signals in this direction, do not allow us to accept or discard this hypothesis. Indeed findings of these studies are only partially confirmed due to the heterogeneity of methods utilized and the risk of non-specific signals in serological assays.
Despite that, the report underlines the importance of investigating these potential early events, to solve the still unanswered questions about the origin and timing of the current pandemic and may contribute to a better understanding of the future virus circulation dynamics.
You can read the full text of the paper here.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.14.21260491v1.full
Devil Child
(2,728 posts)stillcool
(32,626 posts)not in this country. I still believe in science, and scientists. Don't much care where the virus it originated, but I do care that it is stopped. Rand Paul attacking Dr. Faucci seems to be all the rage among some, and that is insignificant chatter used to misdirect. Seeing as how the Republicans are all of a sudden on board with vaccines, they'll be back blaming China, the CDC, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton...anyone, but themselves. It's who they are, it's what they do. The horse is never too dead for them to flog away.