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Kablooie

(18,628 posts)
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 09:27 PM Aug 2021

I don't understand why the US government was so oblivious as to what the Taliban would do.

Not knowing anything myself I would still expect Taliban to move in quickly and take control of anywhere US troops left unprotected.

Why didn't Biden, the military and intelligence agencies know this? It seemed so obvious to me.

22 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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I don't understand why the US government was so oblivious as to what the Taliban would do. (Original Post) Kablooie Aug 2021 OP
If August 31 was the deadline, why haven't people been leaving before now? Sneederbunk Aug 2021 #1
Incompetence nt ansible Aug 2021 #2
Easy enough to dismiss any other possibilities. LanternWaste Aug 2021 #5
Incompetence of those asked to evacuate reality1 Aug 2021 #19
Perhaps they did know and didn't want to comradebillyboy Aug 2021 #3
They did know Sympthsical Aug 2021 #4
ok reality1 Aug 2021 #20
Because they were not anticipating Ghani to flee the country with all the money Bev54 Aug 2021 #6
The politicians, diplomats, and generals have largely been lying to the American people RockRaven Aug 2021 #7
JUst AS With Vietnam Me. Aug 2021 #9
+1 And the checks never bounce! n/t leftstreet Aug 2021 #10
You Only Have The Media & So Called Pundits Saying THey Didn't Me. Aug 2021 #8
The media has to pretend it was unexpected because otherwise they have to admit that they RockRaven Aug 2021 #11
Exactly Me. Aug 2021 #12
Yep relayerbob Aug 2021 #15
I'll bet the farm that they knew the Taliban would eventually take control. Xolodno Aug 2021 #13
The locals didn't bother to tell the Americans they were cutting deals relayerbob Aug 2021 #14
It doesn't Matter. twin_ghost Aug 2021 #16
The Taliban were not expecting it to happen this fast either. LiberalFighter Aug 2021 #17
The Afghan president left the country without notice. LiberalFighter Aug 2021 #18
Lets talk about this reality1 Aug 2021 #21
What should have been done was to elect Gore as president. Kablooie Aug 2021 #22
 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
5. Easy enough to dismiss any other possibilities.
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 09:33 PM
Aug 2021

Or, if not easy, at least convenient to particular narratives.

reality1

(123 posts)
19. Incompetence of those asked to evacuate
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 11:14 PM
Aug 2021

The embassy told U.S. citizens to evacuate a full week before the collapse. Unless they're trapped in another city they bear some responsibilty. All their travel expenses were to be paid. I heard the alert here in the U.S. so I know they heard it.

Even a day before it felt like a collapse was imminent but they didn't go to the embassy. We need more accurate reporting on who these U.S. citizens might be, where they are at and what took them a WEEK to get out.

comradebillyboy

(10,144 posts)
3. Perhaps they did know and didn't want to
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 09:31 PM
Aug 2021

put in the 100,000 or more troops needed to keep it from happening.

Sympthsical

(9,073 posts)
4. They did know
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 09:32 PM
Aug 2021

From the NY Times two days ago:

WASHINGTON — Classified assessments by American spy agencies over the summer painted an increasingly grim picture of the prospect of a Taliban takeover of Afghanistan and warned of the rapid collapse of the Afghan military, even as President Biden and his advisers said publicly that was unlikely to happen as quickly, according to current and former American government officials.

By July, many intelligence reports grew more pessimistic, questioning whether any Afghan security forces would muster serious resistance and whether the government could hold on in Kabul, the capital. President Biden said on July 8 that the Afghan government was unlikely to fall and that there would be no chaotic evacuations of Americans similar to the end of the Vietnam War.

The drumbeat of warnings over the summer raise questions about why Biden administration officials, and military planners in Afghanistan, seemed ill-prepared to deal with the Taliban’s final push into Kabul, including a failure to ensure security at the main airport and rushing thousands more troops back to the country to protect the United States’ final exit.

One report in July — as dozens of Afghan districts were falling and Taliban fighters were laying siege to several major cities — laid out the growing risks to Kabul, noting that the Afghan government was unprepared for a Taliban assault, according to a person familiar with the intelligence.

Intelligence agencies predicted that should the Taliban seize cities, a cascading collapse could happen rapidly and the Afghan security forces were at high risk of falling apart. It is unclear whether other reports during this period presented a more optimistic picture about the ability of the Afghan military and the government in Kabul to withstand the insurgents.


https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/17/us/politics/afghanistan-biden-administration.html

reality1

(123 posts)
20. ok
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 11:21 PM
Aug 2021

#1 revisionist alternative history. A month ago Biden tells the public that Afghanistan could collapse at any time, it then does but
people blame Joe for undermine the confidence of the Afghan government and soldiers. Joe is blamed for the collapse. GOP call fro immediate impeachment.

#2 A month ago Joe tell U.S. public that the sham of a government could collapse at any time and he's authorized 10k troops to go in and support.
Taliban immediately restart attacks on U.S. troops. Massive bloodletting. BOTH Dems and GOP ask Biden to resign for such an insane blunder

You folk that keep posting this stuff aren't saying WHAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN DONE? Lets talk about it

Bev54

(10,048 posts)
6. Because they were not anticipating Ghani to flee the country with all the money
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 09:34 PM
Aug 2021

He is the one who continued to assure the US that the forces in Kabul and the government would hold on. I think he made these plans to leave long before and that is why he was not paying his forces and keeping the money for himself.

RockRaven

(14,962 posts)
7. The politicians, diplomats, and generals have largely been lying to the American people
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 09:37 PM
Aug 2021

about what is possible or probable in Afghanistan. The entire time.

Me.

(35,454 posts)
8. You Only Have The Media & So Called Pundits Saying THey Didn't
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 09:43 PM
Aug 2021

THough it it is generally acknowledged that it happened faster than all expectation. But TFG gave them the Taliban a planning head's up. And even now people from his adm n are coming out saying the peace deal was a ploy.

RockRaven

(14,962 posts)
11. The media has to pretend it was unexpected because otherwise they have to admit that they
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 09:51 PM
Aug 2021

have been spoon-feeding the American people absolute bullshit for the last twenty years.

Xolodno

(6,390 posts)
13. I'll bet the farm that they knew the Taliban would eventually take control.
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 10:18 PM
Aug 2021

The timetable was the question they couldn't answer.

This was doomed from the start. A western style government on an Islamic populace? That sides with Sunni's? When Saudi Arabia just recently allowed women to drive? What the fuck?

I won't be surprised if this region gets partitioned in a decade and the Pashtu have a smaller chunk as a result.

relayerbob

(6,544 posts)
14. The locals didn't bother to tell the Americans they were cutting deals
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 10:25 PM
Aug 2021

And, indeed have been working with Russians for some time for this outcome.

The outcome was never in doubt, just the speed of the collapse of the Afghan governments' capitulation. A lot of US cash has left that country in the pockets of their corrupt officials.

https://apnews.com/article/europe-russia-taliban-f25c1a8b030fb0721f9b8891f8d329e8

twin_ghost

(435 posts)
16. It doesn't Matter.
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 10:28 PM
Aug 2021

Afghanistan is a problem for the Afghani people. It isn't America's damn problem to save the world. Joe Biden is right!


reality1

(123 posts)
21. Lets talk about this
Thu Aug 19, 2021, 11:22 PM
Aug 2021

#1 revisionist alternative history. A month ago Biden tells the public that Afghanistan could collapse at any time, it then does but
people blame Joe for undermining the confidence of the Afghan government and soldiers. Joe is blamed for the collapse. GOP call for immediate impeachment.

#2 A month ago Joe tell U.S. public that the sham of a government could collapse at any time and he's authorized 10k troops to go in and support.
Taliban immediately restart attacks on U.S. troops. Massive bloodletting. BOTH Dems and GOP ask Biden to resign for such an insane blunder

You folk that keep posting this stuff aren't saying WHAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN DONE? Lets talk about it

Kablooie

(18,628 posts)
22. What should have been done was to elect Gore as president.
Fri Aug 20, 2021, 12:19 AM
Aug 2021

All these wars stem from the Bush presidency.
9/11 might have been stopped in time and
Our climate future would likely be different today as well.

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