Hurricane Sam looks like it's on track to hit our east coast in the North

[abqtommy]

Carolina area. I'll be keeping an eye on this.

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2021/hurricane-sam?map=5day&MR=1

(scroll down)

One interesting thing I learned during this past week of checking on tropical storms
and hurricanes is that there has never been a named storm that begins with the
letter "Q". I became curious as to why the names went from Peter to Rose and
checked it out. It's just another one of the many things I never knew before.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames_history.shtml

[teach1st]

1. At this time, models disagree about a mid-east coast hit

As we know, anything can happen with these storms, especially with a slow mover.



From the NOAA 9/25, 5 am discussion:

The hurricane is moving west-northwestward at 11 kt and is currently being steered by a mid-level ridge to its north. There has been little change to the track forecast philosophy or model guidance. Sam is expected to continue west-northwestward during the next two or three days, but it is forecast to move at a notably slower pace of 6-8 kt during most of that time period. After that time, the ridge is expected to shift eastward as a deep-layer trough becomes established over the western Atlantic. This change in the steering pattern should cause Sam to turn northwestward and speed up some by the middle of next week. The models are in fairly good agreement, and the NHC track forecast is largely an update of the previous one. Based on this forecast, and nearly all of the reliable guidance, Sam is expected to still be well to the east or northeast of the northern Leeward Islands through day 5.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT3+shtml/250831.shtml

[abqtommy]

2. Thanks for this info. Yes, "anything can happen"!

[malaise]

3. Yes the absence of Q has long fascinated hurricane watchers

The models suggest that Sam will head out to sea - it will create some surge problems in the Northern Leewards and Virgin Islands and folks in Bermuda will have to pay attention as usual. That said this is a huge one - pay attention.

[getagrip_already]

4. the models are swinging all over....

And it is giving wx watchers heartburn.

So don't get complacent. The models aren't settled. Looking at this mornings plots means little when it is moving slowly in a westerly direction......

[Deep State Witch]

5. Maybe they can name one QAnon?

It will be a Cat 5 bullshit storm.

[abqtommy]

6. That's good! I looked up given names starting with "Q" and there are quite a few.

There's obviously some prejudice against the letter "Q" among the storm-naming folks!