General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsHow do I say this? I am less than fully confident about the VA gubernatorial race.
I knew we had the CA Recall in the bag, I don't have the same feeling about the VA gubernatorial race.
BlueTsunami2018
(3,461 posts)Im quite worried about both. Its a bad sign that these are even close.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,705 posts)BlueTsunami2018
(3,461 posts)I was looking at polls today and its within the margin of error with the jackass Тяцмрsтег gaining. Murphy was up big a month ago.
rogue emissary
(3,147 posts)The stats for early voting look good and McAuliffe is hitting the same poll numbers as Northam.
I'm more worried about state house and senate seats. The red areas are getting redder and the truly toss-up areas are shrinking.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,705 posts)Amishman
(5,541 posts)The numbers with independents in particular have me really alarmed.
hlthe2b
(101,730 posts)is unnerving as hell.
Scrivener7
(50,774 posts)honest.abe
(8,556 posts)I dont feel confident either. Younkin has run a smart campaign and has ads everywhere. Also it seems Dem voters are not as engaged as they need to be. I think they dont see the crisis nature of this election like the California recall. Im hoping something can turn the momentum.
Amishman
(5,541 posts)The impression I get from the few I still talk to, is that Youngkin has used social issues around schools as a wedge to break off a significant chunk of independents who are less liberal on social issues.
It also doesn't help that inflation concerns are ramping up, making the prospect of a large infrastructure spending bill less favorable than it would normally be. I really think we need to communicate better about how Build Back Better is not funded by 'printing money' and will not exacerbate the current inflation issues.
mcar
(42,210 posts)Link to tweet
?s=20
im chuckling bc raise yr hand if you never heard this recent fact abt Va Gov race.
via CBS News poll: "Voters who have already voted prefer McAuliffe by 24 points"
That is much bigger than I had expected given all the recent polling. Sounds like Dem voters got the message they need to show up.
PortTack
(32,606 posts)Total RWNJ group!!
The company says it utilizes methods to increase the weighting of so-called "shy, pro-Trump" voters which they argue to be underrepresented in most polls. The company does not disclose its methods.
Robert Cahaly
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Cahaly
On November 3, 2010, Cahaly was arrested by the State Law Enforcement Division (SLED) and charged with making illegal robocalls. Cahaly denied any wrongdoing, stating "It is sad and disappointing that in this charged election cycle full of last minute surprise attacks that Democrat Incumbents and power brokers are leveraging all of their influence to create a last minute salacious headline. We are apparently today's target." The charges were subsequently dismissed in October 2012. After the charges were dropped, Cahaly filed suit against SLED officials, claiming his constitutional right to free speech had been violated. The subsequent decision of Cahaly v. LaRosa found the anti-robocall statute was a content-based restriction on speech and therefore unconstitutional, which defended the right of Cahaly to make robocalls.
Amishman
(5,541 posts)this fails to calm me.
Polybius
(15,239 posts)Republicans don't like early voting, so this is no surprise.
brooklynite
(93,873 posts)"People will panic about the VA-GOV race for the next month. Then McAuliffe will win".
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,705 posts)Carlitos Brigante
(26,483 posts)Bettie
(15,998 posts)there are a greater number of Republicans who are eager to vote, per the polls.
However, what percentage of the electorate are Republicans?
What percentage are Democrats?
I think we'll win.
Also: polling relies on people who still answer their phones when they don't know who is on the other end.
AJT
(5,240 posts)happened over the past 5 years with the crazy GOP, then we are doomed. Even if they both win, the fact that it is even close says it all.
LetMyPeopleVote
(144,005 posts)BlackSkimmer
(51,308 posts)I hope we win because I dont care for the implications if we dont.