GOP unlikely to get wave election..scrambling for bare minimum majority

[Demovictory9]

https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/30/politics/wave-election-house-republicans-less-likely/index.html

A wave election now looks a lot less likely for Republicans
Analysis by Chris Cillizza,

—
House handicappers are now predicting more modest gains for Republicans as the party looks to ensure that it winds up in the majority rather than trying to expand the playing field to claim a slew of seats in November.

“Republican groups are increasingly hyper-focusing their resources on the several dozen races that hold the most promise to get them to a bare majority of 218, rather than the next 20 to 30 races that would get them to the larger ‘governing majority’ Kevin McCarthy has hoped for,” wrote David Wasserman, the House editor at the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, on Friday.

Wasserman put the ceiling on Republican gains at 20 seats.

That prediction comes just days after Inside Elections, another non-partisan tip sheet, ratcheted down its prediction for Republican gains in the House from a range of 12-30 seats to a range of 8-20 seats.

“Republicans are still the favorites to gain the five seats they need for a House majority, although their majority will likely be narrow,” wrote Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin.

[chowder66]

1. It shouldn't even be fucking close.

[Deminpenn]

2. They just can't completely break away from the CW

that the party in power "always loses seats" in mid-term elections.

[tanyev]

3. I know, right?

Just because August in Texas is almost always hot and dry doesn't mean we can't have an August full of flooding rains, like we did this year. It's a general observation, not a f**king rule.