Who will win in November?

[iemanja]

How confident are you about the 2022 election?

30 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
	I feel certain that Democrats win both houses
	15 (50%)
	Democrats will hold the Senate but lose the House
	4 (13%)
	Republicans will win both houses
	0 (0%)
	I don't know, and I'm worried
	10 (33%)
	I don't know, but I'm not worried
	1 (3%)
	Other, explain below
	0 (0%)
	0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
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[Mz Pip]

1. I don't know

But any Democratic win will be contested with claims of fraud.
Nothing will be settled on election night.

[MOMFUDSKI]

2. I have to agree with you on this.

If we can get a good turnout we win because there are still way more of us than them. But then the lawsuits begin and it will be a guaranteed shitshow.

[iemanja]

3. I hope the optimists are proven right.

[lark]

4. In an sane world, this wouldn't be a problem, Dems would win over the traitorsous R's.

But this is a nowhere near fair or totally sane country, 30% think it's fine to overturn the government with violence. 30% is freaking scary!! So those 30% will vote for the fascist and fascist leaning R's without a doubt. The question is how many Independents are sane? Will woman, especially young women, stand up for themselves or think nothing bad will happen to them or those they care about. Will Repug women realize they could be killed too if they have a bad miscarriage and live in a state with no exception for the health of the mother. Do they even realize what's at stake? I worry!

[Elessar Zappa]

5. I'm worried but

I believe we’ll hold the Senate and I think we have a better than 50/50 chance to hold the House due to post-Roe turnout.

[WarGamer]

6. I feel ok about the Senate, thinking 51 seats.

The House is literally flip a coin.

Not only are we looking at gerrymandering, voter suppression and a tough economy...

But the census gave the GOP around 5-6 seats.

[Marius25]

9. I felt better about the Senate until polls showed us losing Nevada.

Cortez Masto is struggling there.

[Celerity]

7. OPEC's 2 million barrel per day production cut may hit us hard.

Fuck the KSA and rhe rest.

[Elessar Zappa]

8. We just gotta hope

that women’s rights trump high gas prices. I’m leaning toward us outperforming the polls but I’m far from confident in that assessment.

[Celerity]

10. This is by far the hardest election to predict in my lifetime (I was born weeks before the 1996 one)

I always get a inner feeling that seldom is wrong (2016, with Trump/Clinton for instance).

Do not have one this time.

Too much delta, too many variables, and too little faith that the Rethugs can be stopped if they go nationwide, mass, systemic cheating mode.

[ColinC]

11. Everybody regardless of our confidence needs to make sure ach of our D friends and family vote

[budkin]

12. Women are going to deliver

A blue wave to protect the right to choose

[former9thward]

13. What is the definition of winning?

Winning the House? Winning the Senate? Winning both? Picking up seats in either? Picking up state houses? Picking up governors?

[iemanja]

15. The choices are about federal races

House and Senate.

[Polybius]

14. We'll pick up one or two seats in the Senate, but we'll lose Nevada

We will lose 20 seats in the House. Not sure about Governorships, but if Lee Zeldin wins in NY, it's over.