HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » General Discussion (Forum) » Ralston said that if Cort...

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:18 PM

Ralston said that if Cortez keeps up the 60+% of votes like the first batch in NV

she will be ahead out of the 84k votes that's expected to be counted.


First Clark dump of only 14K new ballots and CCM reduces statewide deficit to 18K.

Ds have to love first dump, gaining 5K out of first 14K ballots, with 65 percent to 30 percent spread.

That's first 14K of 84K in Clark.

If margins continue like that, she will be ahead.

IF.


?cxt=HHwWgoCjiZKy2JIsAAAA

19 replies, 2773 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 19 replies Author Time Post
Reply Ralston said that if Cortez keeps up the 60+% of votes like the first batch in NV (Original post)
Claustrum Nov 9 OP
PortTack Nov 9 #1
W_HAMILTON Nov 9 #2
Claustrum Nov 9 #4
Yavin4 Nov 9 #8
triron Nov 9 #12
honest.abe Nov 9 #3
Johnny2X2X Nov 9 #5
Cha Nov 9 #7
Johnny2X2X Nov 9 #11
triron Nov 9 #14
Cha Nov 9 #15
triron Nov 9 #13
honest.abe Nov 9 #6
Claustrum Nov 9 #9
honest.abe Nov 9 #16
BlueMTexpat Nov 9 #10
Doc Sportello Nov 9 #17
Claustrum Nov 9 #18
Doc Sportello Nov 9 #19

Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:20 PM

1. She's gonna make it!!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:21 PM

2. But the question becomes how do those outstanding ballots from Washoe work out?

I think that county is more of a split county, so it might come down to them. I believe it is tens of thousands still left to be counted there as well, although not as many as in Clark.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to W_HAMILTON (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:22 PM

4. I think there is 60k from Washoe.

Then it's up to the mail in ballots that's coming in daily. It's going to be close unfortunately.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to W_HAMILTON (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:32 PM

8. OMG! We're relying on the cops of Reno 911.

Lord, help us.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to W_HAMILTON (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:37 PM

12. Ralston seemed to think the Washoe ballots might slightly favor

Democrats. He seems very upbeat about Democrats winning many of the races. But not governor.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:22 PM

3. This is very good news indeed!

This is hughi!1?!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:25 PM

5. FWIW, betting markets

Betting market has Cortez-Mastro at over 70% to win.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:32 PM

7. Yeah, FWIW... But it sounds promisng

it could be the other way.

Always looking for something positive.. TY.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Cha (Reply #7)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:36 PM

11. Yeah.

Betting markets basically have Rep House almost a lock. Dem Senate almost a lock.

But they also have Lake at 70% to win in AZ.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #11)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:39 PM

14. The drop from Maricopa County helped Hobbs.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #11)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:44 PM

15. Boo on Lake.. & Hope they're Wrong about the

House.

They could be right on some things and not so much on others.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:38 PM

13. Great news.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:28 PM

6. At this rate CCM will gain another 25000 votes

Which would put her well ahead.

This is a huge relief!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to honest.abe (Reply #6)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:32 PM

9. There is still 60k votes from Washoe which is not as blue, and a few thousand votes from rural area.

And then we still have the daily mail in ballots that's coming in daily (postmarked before the 8th) that should favor democrats. It's just a very close one with a bit of favoring dems. Granted, we need to keep pace with that 2:1 ratio.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Claustrum (Reply #9)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:46 PM

16. As long as there are no big R leaning chunks of votes remaining..

I think she has got this.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:33 PM

10. Fingers VERY

crossed here!

Thank God for DU! If I relied solely on the US M$M, I would never have known how well Dems have done!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:47 PM

17. Come on CMM

From a purely selfish point of view I don't want to wait more than a month for the GA runoff to determine who controls the Senate.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Doc Sportello (Reply #17)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:49 PM

18. It's not just on a selfish point.

If we already hold the senate, a lot of republicans that held their nose to vote for Walker for senate would have no reason to vote in the run-off, making that race much easier for Warnock.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Claustrum (Reply #18)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:55 PM

19. Yes and he won't have Kemp's coattails

Even better in my mind is if CMM can win Nevada, repubs won't be able to use control of the senate as a motivating factor in getting out their voters, some of whom don't like Walker as a person but voted for him in this election. I think Warnock would win fairly easily in that scenario.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread