Post-Mortem for the 2022 Mid Terms. It's the 4 million vote loss in the House.

[WarGamer]

https://www.cookpolitical.com/charts/house-charts/national-house-vote-tracker/2022

As of right now, the Repubs lead by 4,043,000 votes.

This is a 8+ million vote turnaround in the House compared to 2020 when the DEMS received 4.7M more votes than the GOP in the House.

I suspect it's a turnout issue.

[FoxNewsSucks]

1. I suspect it's a voter-suppression issue.

With all the calls to GOTV, there's no way we didn't get more voters, is there?

[WarGamer]

2. We'll certainly need to study that.

[Hermit-The-Prog]

7. A start...

https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/information-gaps-and-misinformation-2022-elections

[relayerbob]

3. 46.4% this year vs 49.4% in 2018

That 3% amounts to around 7.2 million voters, so definitely lower turnout.

I'm sure voter suppression, redistricting, the incredible level of negative advertising all contributed to it.

[OAITW r.2.0]

4. But now we get to see Republicamn Legislative Governance over the next 2 years.

[rampartc]

5. it is baffling

i thought the new gerrymandered districts would be more favorable to them.

[DemocraticPatriot]

6. I guess we are lucky, if your numbers are accurate...

I think there were "waves" on both sides, which cancelled each other out-- thus the close turnouts in critical races...

Luckily, we won the most critical ones--- Governors and Secretaries of State in the states that Biden won in 2020...

[Sympthsical]

8. I wonder how much California will even it out

It seriously takes us forever. I think in 2020, we had a total after the first week that just grew and grew throughout the month.

So even though that shows about a 4% difference at present, I'd not be incredibly surprised to that narrow down to 2-3% by the time all is said and done.

I'd also like to point out that the polls were more or less right. People can quibble with individual pollsters or some races, but the results took the general shape that should have been expected from the data.

[ITAL]

10. It already has some

It was like 4.7 million votes a week ago. I don't think there's enough out there to decrease the margin by more than a percent from here on.

[Hortensis]

9. I'd speculate it's the whiners' and grievance junkies' political footprint,

except that no one's more into grievance and victimization politics than the MAGAs. When the manipulators feed them grievance, they process it into anger and attack voting.

What do determined victims on the left process it into?

[bigtree]

11. you're comparing midterm turnout to presidential election turnout

...that's not a credible comparison.

Midterms favor the opposition party turnout.

[Efilroft Sul]

12. I still say the bombing of partisan polls in October and the media making Red Wave predictions...

…was a coordinated effort to demotivate Democrats from voting, to create a sense of hopelessness, to make them not want to support democracy at the polls. This Jedi mind trick worked on all demographics but the young voters, who did not give in to the herd mentality that authoritarianism is inevitable without a fight.

It's bad enough that the early Millennials, X'ers, and Boomers are loaded with asshole Republican voters. But shame on the Democrats in those generations who let themselves be gaslighted and scared and didn't turn out to support America when it mattered most.